Why TA does not work

Quote from Xspurt:

Good question and there are a number of solutions from basic to advanced. The set ups can be exact but PA can range from perfect to messy and obviously the weaker set ups have a lower success rate. However if a trader takes a break of a support just because the support broke, then tossing the coin might improve the results. Same goes for buying and selling S&R and expecting it to hold - it's gambling.

If it was that easy there would be no trolls, no arguments, and 5 mins study would put a garbage collector on the road to riches.

One needs set ups to bounce off major support and resistance , here is one of them .It can be profitable on 15 min and 30 min.

http://208.234.169.12/vb/showthread.php?threadid=111305&perpage=6&pagenumber=1
 
Quote from oilfxpro:

Some traders are buying at previous support and selling at previous resistance and getting clobbered , yet some times these supports work and those looking for failures lose.

Exact science or coin toss?
some bananas turn black 2 days after you bring them home, some last a week,so ya it's a coin toss,now some people know about the bananas and try to buy the greener ones,so a little knowledge applied makes it less of a coin toss, just common sense, there is no exact science in the market ,it is that way intentionally,looking for it ,or waiting for it,you may never trade,selling buying every line you will go broke,somewhere in the middle is life, the market, perfection is an overated mythical state
 
Quote from ammo:

some bananas turn black 2 days after you bring them home, some last a week,so ya it's a coin toss,now some people know about the bananas and try to buy the greener ones,so a little knowledge applied makes it less of a coin toss, just common sense, there is no exact science in the market ,it is that way intentionally,looking for it ,or waiting for it,you may never trade,selling buying every line you will go broke,somewhere in the middle is life, the market, perfection is an overated mythical state

Trading crude futures from august 6 to the 31 st produced a net profit of 409 cents ,drawdown of 163 cents , using trades in direction with 4 hour trend lines , a profit rate of 55 % , average profit per trade of 49.6 pips , and average loss of 27.75 pips , 27 trades , average 1.5 trades per day , from 8 a m to 19 hours gmt.slippage 2 pips and an overgenerous spread of 7 was used to calculate.

By not using 4 hour trend lines and trading all day and night , profitability was 41 % , net profit was 77 cents , drawdown of 364 cents

These figures contradict the buy low at support and sell at resistance , without a suitable method ,which experts think they can predict the major turning points etc. and which many others boast using.
 
Quote from Xspurt:

I didn't see too many surf price drivers calling a buy on Monday and issue a big warning for a red Friday a week in advance.

Oh hang on, no surf went long on Google and SAN when I was saying it's approaching a time and price date for wicked shorts on Friday.

Of course it's not TA, it's just luck again.

And it's hindsight - hindsight a week in advance, isn't that what you call it Oily and surf?

How much can I get for scamming noobs with this free system on ebay and the net ?

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=3657517

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=111305&perpage=6&pagenumber=5

I was using this system to trade , then some scammer on forums advised me against using this system , because it was against his interests of selling courses on trading education of t/a.So I stopped after getting brainwashed by some scammer.
 
Quote from oilfxpro:

Trading crude futures from august 6 to the 31 st produced a net profit of 409 cents ,drawdown of 163 cents , using trades in direction with 4 hour trend lines , a profit rate of 55 % , average profit per trade of 49.6 pips , and average loss of 27.75 pips , 27 trades , average 1.5 trades per day , from 8 a m to 19 hours gmt.slippage 2 pips and an overgenerous spread of 7 was used to calculate.

By not using 4 hour trend lines and trading all day and night , profitability was 41 % , net profit was 77 cents , drawdown of 364 cents

These figures contradict the buy low at support and sell at resistance , without a suitable method ,which experts think they can predict the major turning points etc. and which many others boast using.
oily, you could use tea leaves, or price drivers or just about anything,some are better than others, but if you pick a good one and stay with it, you will eventually see a correlation that gives you an edge,you needn't be in all the time, just when the edge shows up ,trading all day and all night will run up commissions,of course that would not matter if you found something that worked well enough to give you constant profitable signals
 
Quote from Xspurt:

I didn't see too many surf price drivers calling a buy on Monday and issue a big warning for a red Friday a week in advance.

Oh hang on, no surf went long on Google and SAN when I was saying it's approaching a time and price date for wicked shorts on Friday.

Of course it's not TA, it's just luck again.

And it's hindsight - hindsight a week in advance, isn't that what you call it Oily and surf?

I wonder what next week will bring? Heehee :D

Any statistical analysis on advance prediction would show very poor overall results.If this worked consistently , you would be a billionaire .It works sometimes.

In the meantime bon-a-petit on noob caviar.
 
Quote from Xspurt:

I didn't see too many surf price drivers calling a buy on Monday and issue a big warning for a red Friday a week in advance.

Oh hang on, no surf went long on Google and SAN when I was saying it's approaching a time and price date for wicked shorts on Friday.

Of course it's not TA, it's just luck again.

And it's hindsight - hindsight a week in advance, isn't that what you call it Oily and surf?

I wonder what next week will bring? Heehee :D

You have a funny way of making claims.

Before the fact you are Mr. Ambiguity Extraordinaire

After the fact you make it sounds like you were transparent.

You really think people are that stupid to swallow your BS?
 
Quote from oilfxpro:

Any statistical analysis on advance prediction would show very poor overall results.If this worked consistently , you would be a billionaire .It works sometimes.

What makes you think so? Your own failure?
 
Quote from cornixforex:

What makes you think so? Your own failure?

People who can't predict their own future , are trying to predict the future behavior of millions of other people.This god given skill you all posses to predict the future ,will lead you to selling signals on zulu trade to make up your losses on trading.
 
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