No I want to understand if its really the Math that makes them money or it's just a facade. There's a lot of talk about AI and ML, but is it really the alpha generator or is there a talented manager who, at the end, throws all this reasearch in garage and does what he knows works and always will. I'm asking, not stating.
Personally I believe they have many powerful ways of making excessive returns, and I do believe they’re utilizing all of these and more:
- HFT
- market making (which may relate to HFT but doesnt need to as I also do this)
- volatility/IV-based options trading (I do some of this manually but see many opportunities for automation)
- riskless arbitrage (it’s rare but I catch some of those on options, while someone more sophisticated, esp market makers, may be able to do this in volume). But this could also fall under market making because it may be covered within bid/ask arbitrage.
- statistical arbitrage and various non-riskless arbitrage
- trading strategy/algo development similar to what many people here do, while combining thousands of strategies to have statistical advantage across thousands or millions of transactions - this is a big one. Some of the best traders may have small advantage like 51%+ (house odds in a casino), and they wish they could perform thousands of trades with small advantage. Rentec should not have a problem with this.