Gas has come down, but fractionally compared to what oil has come down.Considering the price of crude oil is now lower than it was 1 year ago, why isn't gas lower than it was 1 year ago?
Quote from PAPA ROACH:
$140 oil would equate to a roughly $3.45 gasoline futures price (assuming just a $5/barrel gasoline crack). The gasoline crack is now negative, at $72.20 a barrel for Nov crude, the gasoline crack is a negative -$1.094 using $1.6930 Nov RBOB).
Don't use % moves in crude to try to dictate what gasoline prices should be. Get educated on crack.
The all time high for crude futures AND gasoline futures was on 7/11/08, $147.27 and $3.630 respectively. That gas crack equated to $5.19/barrel for the reefer. You might think that is big, but is is just marginal.
The price of futures you see is for New York Harbor delivered gasoline, BEFORE taxes and station profit markup are added. New York taxes are $0.629 per gallon, then they add a station profit and there is a transportation cost to the trucking company. So, at the current NOV futures price of $$1.682, add .629 for taxes equals $2.311. charge a nickle for transport = $2.361. now add station markup (to cover the cost of credit cards alone would be another nickle) plus station profit of say a dime would be $2.511 a gallon for reg unleaded.
I am not sure the cost of ethanol, but that may even ratchet it up a bit more.
These are NOVEMBER prices so far, not what to expect next week. They may change alot more before we get there.
Here is a list of state by state taxes on gasoline.
http://www.commonsensejunction.com/notes/gas-tax-rate.html