Problem is that you do not see the forest because of the trees. On weekly chart the 1.1950 area is the neckline of a Head-and-Shoulders formation and this is an opening gap by MM. It is my bet we will test that level again.
PS 22 September attempt stopping river. Flow strong and unsuccesfull. River start flow 6 September and has not reach big water. River take many shore with it, can not fight strong water with small bag sand. Curent no show slow down.