Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

freedomshark said:
I think normal distribution can be random. Naturally price is going to cross through a midpoint the most which will create more volume/open interest. Now, I'm not saying it is... :)
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If someone wants to believe that financial markets are random, just because some "educated" people decide to write up some so called "abstracts", then I say let them at it :)

If my memory serves me correct, was there not a big investigation launched in the past into OIL being held in massive containers to change the supply / demand situation - was that a random act!

IMHO, what most fail to see, is that it really does not matter one little bit, as all you have to do to extract money from the market is BLASH & SHABL, and its cousins - while at the same time "KNOWING" that the next time you "RISK" your money their is a good chance that you "MIGHT" lose some, or all of your "RISK AMOUNT" - so, it is "WISE" to not risk all of your money at the "ONE TIME", or else, you might just get caught up in a "random move" that has gone against you and be one "SORRY BAS*ARD":)

J_S
 
Ok, so you are buying low and selling high based on what has happened, but was has happened doesn't make the trade you are or should be making obvious.

Baked into every price you have buy and hold investors and speculators. If they are parsing through the orders to see who's who it seems reasonable that joe retail can interpret how price acts around support and resistance to get a clue?
 
freedomshark said:
Ok, so you are buying low and selling high based on what has happened, but was has happened doesn't make the trade you are or should be making obvious.

Baked into every price you have buy and hold investors and speculators. If they are parsing through the orders to see who's who it seems reasonable that joe retail can interpret how price acts around support and resistance to get a clue?
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You might be better of to BLASH & SHABL based on what is now happening in relation to what has happened - not just based on what has happened - for their is a big difference, and this difference could be the difference between making or losing money on the trade!

Price can only do 1 of 3 things, no matter who does what in the markets!

1. Go Up
2. Go Down
3. Go Sideways

If you BL then you must have a L in place, SH a H in place - it is your interpretation of where price now is in relation to where it has been that will give you your answer, so, what is most important is how you interpret, and what "approach" you use to come to this decision.

The most expensive hardware and software in the world can only spit out data in relation to the data it has received - garbage in..garbage out!

How does one become aware of what is the best "approach" - well, the answer is so "obvious" that most can not see it, and even when shown they still fail to see it - for it is so simple it is just too easy to comprehend, thus, only a very small few actually ever "get it"!

J_S
 
J_Smith said:
A monkey can make money trading once you give him a banana :)
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Banana.jpg


Well I guess you are ready to kill it now!
 
J_Smith said:
You might be better of to BLASH & SHABL based on what is now happening in relation to what has happened - not just based on what has happened - for their is a big difference, and this difference could be the difference between making or losing money on the trade!

Price can only do 1 of 3 things, no matter who does what in the markets!

1. Go Up
2. Go Down
3. Go Sideways

If you BL then you must have a L in place, SH a H in place - it is your interpretation of where price now is in relation to where it has been that will give you your answer, so, what is most important is how you interpret, and what "approach" you use to come to this decision.

The most expensive hardware and software in the world can only spit out data in relation to the data it has received - garbage in..garbage out!

How does one become aware of what is the best "approach" - well, the answer is so "obvious" that most can not see it, and even when shown they still fail to see it - for it is so simple it is just too easy to comprehend, thus, only a very small few actually ever "get it"!

J_S
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could it be possible to determine a relative Low and High from the year/month/day OHLC (Open High Low Close) ?
 
in order to BL, first I must have the L place, so how to determine L? in relation to where it has been , and the chart have reference places such OHL
 
I mean what are you trying to achieve?

How much are you trying to make and how much are you willing to risk to try and make that amount?

J_S
 
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