So we need a simple system...
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How many boxes would you have drawn in the chart you posted
and would they be based on daily data?
I'm just seeing the regular things everybody sees, approached in the same standard way...
I just need a different set of glasses!
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here is a chart to chew on..what do you make of it..and what do you not make of it!
I would say, it is a line going up and going down. I do not make up when it is sure to change my bet.
LN
You're generous today... one red bonus line

You're generous today... one red bonus line
It seems to run approx. in the middle of the range.
Can you tell us if it's a target (future) or belongs to the past?