Quote from Bushido:
While i don't have any respect for cramer. But anyways, Why do you want to catch a falling knife? What will you do if insurance companies start going under due to depreciation in their investments leading to losses in making payments to the insured? what about the potential crisis coming in alt-a's and SLM? (Btw a beautiful setup forming on SLM!! need i say in what direction!)
These may not happen, the crisis may end, but if you are averaging down right not, and the floor vanishes from beneath your feet, you loose, it will recover in its own time dont know could be 6 mnths or 15 years frankly I don't care for that far into the future its not my style. But this I do know, once it starts going up and you average up then it will cost you about the same to buy the same thing without loosing out on initial losses and time. Use you money somewhere else till then, unless you enjoy tying it up and having a loss works like an afrodisiac for you.
To explain this further:
4 + 3 + 2 + 1 = 10
1 + 2 + 3 + 4 is also = 10
Unless you are scared that you cannot catch the absolute bottom, in which case it would be marginally more expensive, and even if it is more than that will be far lesser than your opportunity cost.
Weigh your pros and cons. Best of luck either ways!
Cheers!!