I think that the inflation has already happened.
Most importantly, it's all over the news for the unwashed masses--which usually means that the news is already stale.
- The markets have set all kinds of new highs
- Property values are up like 40%
- Gold has increased from about $1400/oz to $1900/oz
- Commodity prices are through the roof
- Food prices have all gone up
The Fed will also work to step on inflation through raising rates and QE tapering.
I believe they were aiming for a weaker dollar and higher inflation all along.
I've seen you and copperovergold express the "its already priced in" argument regarding inflation. However, my counter to that is you CANNOT price in high/chronic long-term inflation. Its impossible. Because the money doesn't exist today to bid the assets up to a value they can be bid up to in the future when the money supply is [300%] higher due to the government continuing to print money at a [25%] annual clip. Prices just will keep going up and up and up and up.
Fed will raise raise rates and engaged in QE tapering? Haven't they said they are not going to do any of that through at least the remainder of 2021? And even after that, won't they still have to buy U.S. Treasuries to fuel the large, and getting larger, U.S. deficits? Money supply will likely continue to increase at a 23%+ annual clip (probably only growing) for a looooong time IMO. I don't see how that can't lead to very high if not chronic inflation.
