try this,if u don't have charts go to bigcharts .com and use theirs,start with a 20 yr chart of spy,use the monthly ,use the candlesticks chart,connect the 4/1994 low and the 9/2002 and the 4/2003 lows,connecting the lows of the body of the candles,not the tails,with that line drawn,u will notice that its been tested a lot and held on the way up,shorten your chart to 6 months and to daily and you will see it was broken on 6/26 /08 and has been retested a few times,it comes in around 130.35 for monday,this rally may carry into the opening on monday,it may not,if it does ,that is a strong trendline and may be a good spot too reverse your longs,the fact that it held from 94 to 2008 means that it should be respectedthe fact that it's an election year is a wild card ,this and other trendlines are something concrete a noob can learn and use for entry and exit points,this is the simplest ,most commonly used technical tool used in trading and has been around forever,funny that 15 years ago most of the trading community laughed at charts and now no one can live without them