Quote from jsmooth:
Has anyone ever done any research into what causes losing investors (and traders) to always buy tops and sell bottoms? Or the specific emotion that triggers the loser to always feel the most confident to take a trade at the worst possible time? Basically, i'd really like get some information/insite into the thought process of a losing trading (seeing that, in order to win in a zero sum game - futures trading) the key is to simply always fade the loser. And try to understand why the hardest trades to take are always the most profitable; and the easiest trades to take are always losers.
Forget about absolute such as "always". This business is mainly about money management and the discipline to stick to it. My best system has made 48% this year and had a win% of only 56%. So far for being "always" right. 56% batting average and winners bigger than losers, that's it. As you know, you can even make good money with less than 50% winners.
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