Why do I see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data?

Quote from Thunderdog:

Thanks, MAESTRO. Please note, however, that I added a sentence to my post. Specifically, that I think recent price action can give context to what is happening at the moment. Frankly, I can't imagine it being any other way.
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Of course it does! Any real time market info should influence our decision making process! However, using existing price "patterns" (like trends) to anticipate the future price behavior is naïve.
 
Quote from MAESTRO:

I completely agree with this statement! Yes, I too believe that developing of sensible reaction to the market events is the key to success. I just hate when people attribute it to completely iralavent things (like watching trend). Trading markets successfully is an art form. There is a big difference between painting by numbers and painting!
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. . . and a big difference between "Wild A$$ Guessing" and following a proven set of rules.

I know there are individuals that make a great living trading the fundimentals.
I know there are individuals that make money scalping and guessing at the market as well.
Maestro you have no clue how my environment is structured mathematically so saying it is irrelevant is ignorant.
I don't blindly tell either of those groups that what they do is "irrelevant" but yet I have people insinuate that what I do and have researched for over 12 years is. That is sheer ignorance.

God forbid if you ever get sick again and your doctor comes in an says, Well sir, the ONLY thing we have that could possible save your life is this new heart procedure the Mayo Clinic has been testing for a few years with great success". And you look at the doctor and say, "Well doc, I'll guess I'll just lay here and die because I don't think that could possibly work because I know more than you do."

Good luck to you and your health sir.
 
Quote from MAESTRO:

Of course it does! Any real time market info should influence our decision making process! However, using existing price "patterns" (like trends) to anticipate the future price behavior is naïve.
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Although I don't use price patterns per se, as I had noted earlier in this thread, and although I am of the opinion that most fo the stuff that passes for TA is worth little, I won't dismiss the notion that one man's meat is another man's poison, and vice versa. Of course, in the interest of longevity, that meat should be lean. (Lean as in simple, but not necessarily naive.)
 
ProfLogic, I did not mean to offend you. I think you misunderstood my statement. I have never doubted that there are talented traders who can use their knowledge and experience to their advantage. I was trying to illustrate the phenomenon that was brought up by the original poster. If I some how offended you please accept my apologies. It wasn’t intentional. I am just using this thread to illustrate my opinion that by any means does not diminish your accomplishments.
Happy Trading! And thank you for participating in this discussion.
:)
 
Okay, perhaps someone can do me a favor. I'm sure it has been done by others countless times before, but I am not sufficiently computer savvy to do this myself.

Let's consider a new index, the Random 1000. We can start this index at a level of, coincidentally, 1,000. Each tick will equal one point. Can someone use a random number generator to generate one of three possible outcomes over and over again? Specifically, a one-tick rise, a one-tick decline, or no change in price. Kindly generate a couple of thousand "trades" and then plot the results on a line chart. Let's see what it looks like.
 
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