Let's say you randomly enter in the direction of the prevailing move---?? Then would it work?
surf
First, a few disclaimers
I have never tried this.., so what I'm about say is my opinion
I'm thinking this through as I type - so if I miss a point - I screwed up
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Each move (and I don't care what TF (time sample) is used).., from its inception to its conclusion.., has;
prevailing moves (thrusts)
pullbacks (retests if you prefer)
retraces
ranges
reversal
(and all these could..., or could not - be accompanied with volatility / momentum / chop N slop)
Entering randomly only gives a roughly 1 in 4 chance of getting it right (entering with a decent chance to profit..., and with out an inordinate amount of risk)
That would be during the beginning / middle of a thrust phase(s) - and ideally it needs to be in one of the earlier thrusts (ones without a majority of the typical traders on board)
Otherwise the random entry trader is..., suffering heat - if it near/ in a PB / retrace phase..., potential huge loss - if it near a reversal phase..., or stagnation - if it in/ near a range phase
Granted.., the above can be mitigated..., to a degree..., with tight stops
But by entering randomly - one could very well be entering..., repeatedly..., in an area where they will be chopped to death (at a time where it most prudent to be sitting on hands)
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In theory..., entering randomly.., with prudent risk management.., sounds doable
In practice..., I don't believe it is - because it does not factor in the current environment..., nor does it factor in - where in the current life cycle of a move - it is entering
As Albert Einstein stated
“In theory..., theory and practice are the same. In practice..., they are not.”
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Anyone / everyone - feel free to pick this apart
RN