I can't imagin taking a long posiiotn into this weekend. Probably means it won't happen, but feels a bit like the 21st.

Trying to foretell the future is gambling. and gamblers generally lose.
If you were trading a longer term chart, then in a way you are trading a forecast based on your research, nowt wrong with that.
I can't imagin taking a long posiiotn into this weekend. Probably means it won't happen, but feels a bit like the 21st.