who is dumb enough to sell weekly calls on SPX/ES

I always sell new contract highs in all the Indexes right now, guess I am dumb as well. I been doing it since mid 1991, guess I been dumb since then as well. Nothing wrong selling Call credit spreads in SPX so long as you are wise on how to do that. Guessing those that do so are wise to the risk or they won't be around trading for long. But it makes for a good post on what majority of folks not doing.

You all have nice weekend.


what happens when you have a situation like 2013 where you have low volatility and the market keeps going up. ..what do you do then
 
Exactly. If you think that some of the most traded options in the world are mispriced than you have a spectacular buying opportunity! Or it could be that thousands of experts in options who trade in these products every day know a little about what they're doing. In general I've found when my trading insight relies on everyone else in the market being a complete imbecile, then I'm the complete imbecile.

you would have to backtest it. IMHO the 20% OTM yearly leaps may be worthwhile if you get a huge rally like 2013 or 2009 or 2003 once in awhile. I think the expected value is positive even with all the down years. Also may be good to combine it with selling a deep out of money put to cover premiums
 
Do you have access to a PnL graph? Use it.

There are put options and there are call options.
You can buy them both, or you can sell them both, or you can buy one and sell the other, or sell the first and buy the other, or buy/sell puts, or buy/sell calls, or different combinations of this. Til the cows come home. Shake and bake, rinse and repeat.

If you can't make money selling options, take a sick day, go home and sleep.
Take a vitamin B, get y'self a white board, and start drawing this stuff out.
Find a 12 year old and try to 'splain it to them.

Really. If you are having troubles, use your imagination, and rework what you got.

A hoe is a great tool. Unless you need a gravel rake. Then it sucks.

The market is a garden. Use the right tool for the given plot you're in. Or expect a lot of dead shit.
 
How about all traders which are long market, choosing the cover sell some weeklys with the greatest decay?
today, holding long position without ANY kind of hedge (cover call counts aswell) simply dont worth the risk.
 
How about all traders which are long market, choosing the cover sell some weeklys with the greatest decay?
today, holding long position without ANY kind of hedge (cover call counts aswell) simply dont worth the risk.

Just wanted to make it clear,
you never know the person's intentions on the other side. pros use multiple legs and try to achive the best risk reward ratio, whenever you see option selling it almost never ends there.
 
I'm a buyer only, and I don't trade ES calls because when the market rises the prices hardly move because of IV. However when it drops the ES calls follow it.

I have the complete opposite opinion on this. GL.

Are u saying that total weekly volatility < price of calls alone ?Ideally weekly cost should be 1/2 of total weekly volatility , so buying calls should be profitable , if at oversold support levels.
 
Are u saying that total weekly volatility < price of calls alone ?Ideally weekly cost should be 1/2 of total weekly volatility , so buying calls should be profitable , if at oversold support levels.

I'm talking about weekly calls over the space of a 5-10 point move on the SPX. Not the whole week.

SPX rises 10 points, IV skew will rip threw the calls prices.

Like trying to swim up a waterfall.
 
ever done any anylysis /back tests on buying calls on spx weekly/monthly , at a support after oversold /fall and selling at the same time sell a call at the money on weekly /monthly?
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let the above options expire , and when you have losses , after 2 weeks losses buy an extra call spread


your equity curve should look like this

try also on djia
 

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