Quote from brokerboy:
i think it does matter but again its the data you want to look at. margin is at all time highs again. i can give you a lot different studies of data that show this where a top is
Anyway, I don't understand why you and many others keep on questioning about stock market prices "correctness": most of the financial world agrees that it doesn't like stocks.
Apart from Buffet (who gave motivations I didn't understand), the ONE AND ONLY reason why many big investors are bullish (Tepper, Gross and all others I heard) is: THERE IS NO ALTERNATIVE.
Most of funds managers are underinvested in stocks: why did they all lose this magnificent 4 years rally? Are they all incompetent? Tepper calculates that there is a lot of money that MUST go somewhere,and central banks made stocks the only possibility: that's why he's bullish.
Central banks are trying to corner the financial world by every possible mean, that's the point.
If there were no problem and stocks were actually attractive, there would be no need to do that as investors would buy stocks by themselves.