Quote from Nine_Ender:
I guarantee you the US fed wouldn't bat an eye if markets dropped 15%. This is NOT their focus. They are focused on the economy and jobs, still relatively weak but getting better. You are confused about what the market represents. It's companies and their profits/balance sheet, which largely add wealth to those who can afford to participate by owning those companies.
I don't know how anyone can say this after all we've experienced this last decade. I mean, what about the morning five years ago when Kerviel from SocGen had to unwind his massive position and sents the markets diving. We had a surprise rate cut of 75bps 5 min later!! Im sure that was pure coincidence. Or the fact that CB's like Japan are openly saying they are targeting asset inflation and buying stocks outright. It's become all about asset prices. by the time we get to the goal of sub 6% employment the Dow will be at 50k. No consequences there.
And stock prices discount FUTURE earnings. Not present earnings. If earnings are so great, why 5 years later although we have record earnings, is the fed still in crisis mode? Because despite the current earnings, the fed knows they are not sustainable. So why is the same multiple awarded as other times??Fed is backstopping everything.
I remember a while back when Bush was president, he was pushing to privatize social security. Telling people to invest it in the stock market cuz it brings an average return of +6%yr. Take the strain off the government. I remember at a hearing some senator asked the Fed what he though about that. I remember he said that its a terrible idea. He said the whole purpose of a market is that it has a risk premium attached to it. Thats what makes markets work. Where is that guy?