While the Fed's balance sheet continues expanding ( You can watch it as the FARBAST index in a bloomberg terminal ) , any correction will last little, however, 3%-7% suddenly corrections might occur. Since 2009, Market cycles have been broken cause the FED, this is the new normal.....so far
Who else thinks a Correction or CRASH may be coming? My top call #2 1/9/2021
- Thread starter KCalhoun
- Start date
While the Fed's balance sheet continues expanding ( You can watch it as the FARBAST index in a bloomberg terminal ) , any correction will last little, however, 3%-7% suddenly corrections might occur. Since 2009, Market cycles have been broken cause the FED, this is the new normal.....so far
3-7% are not corrections. They are just pullbacks, no?
+1 10-20% = correction
https://www.cmegroup.com/openmarket...r-bear-market-how-to-tell-the-difference.html
Sad this is how we spend Saturday night vs clubbing lol #gettingoldsucks
We no longer go clubbing because we've been clubbed to death in believing that we can't go out clubbing, or we will all die a painful, melting death. Masks and hand washing are no longer good enough. Only the vaccines will save our souls now.
Yes, you're right. I wrote it fast not thinking carefully about the right financial vocabulary. Besides that, do you have an opinion about what KCalhoun affirms?
Ignore top calls. Unless the caller explicitly explains why (a feeling isnt valid. Time isn’t valid. P/e isn’t valid) for you to analyze, the odds are terribly against them.
if the thread is just confirmation bias of your own feeling that you were seeking out, buy on the first up day.
Options expiration day with a lot of calls in the money is hard on market makers. Just saying. All the big moving stocks that went down Friday were stocks that were up massively the last few months. Most of the stocks that went up Friday were stocks that have been beaten down. That screams of market makers getting their money back at expiration. I’d even expect next week to show more of the same. The market is manipulated and Market makers need to make money. This is why non options traders watch options expiration day.
thats just how a market works though. And isn’t throwing darts at a high day and saying - top! Every bull run has people saying the same exact stuff about the top and overvalued and the news today. It’s all not that unique, really. The market functions the way it always has. And the overvalued top calls existed in 1995 too. The market gives hints when it’s actually coming, and consumer discretionary outpacing consumer staples isn’t one of them. Stock markets don’t crash a week out from Ferrari making an all time high and Kimberly Clark’s best day being in July 20% higher. Money flow is important
if the thread is just confirmation bias of your own feeling that you were seeking out, buy on the first up day.
Options expiration day with a lot of calls in the money is hard on market makers. Just saying. All the big moving stocks that went down Friday were stocks that were up massively the last few months. Most of the stocks that went up Friday were stocks that have been beaten down. That screams of market makers getting their money back at expiration. I’d even expect next week to show more of the same. The market is manipulated and Market makers need to make money. This is why non options traders watch options expiration day.
thats just how a market works though. And isn’t throwing darts at a high day and saying - top! Every bull run has people saying the same exact stuff about the top and overvalued and the news today. It’s all not that unique, really. The market functions the way it always has. And the overvalued top calls existed in 1995 too. The market gives hints when it’s actually coming, and consumer discretionary outpacing consumer staples isn’t one of them. Stock markets don’t crash a week out from Ferrari making an all time high and Kimberly Clark’s best day being in July 20% higher. Money flow is important
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Uh... last March?
