Which real live future trading room I should choose?

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Quote from northmen202:

On good days the room would have small gains & on the bad days the losses were massive.

The bottom fell out more than once trying to scalp 1 tick long.

Before you know what hit you the room is down 5 or 7 points and loaded up to the hilt with more contracts because he keeps averaging down.

It's a niche style of trading but not geared for the average trader that joins his room.

It's not a niche style of trading, it's an idiot's style of trading. You don't average down and then take small 3 tick winners with 3 point losers. That is just plain stupid. "Cut your losers short and let your winners run" isn't a trading phrase for nothing - that's how you make money.
 

He's probably profitable for the year from trading, but I have to wonder how profitable (based strictly on what I've seen...maybe the past couple of months aren't ideal for his style of trading).

I'm sure you could go back and do the math on what he has made on average per day over the last few months, then go back and figure out all of his big losers. If he's much better than break-even, I'd be surprised.
 
Just curious, which room are you paying $ 300 per month that keeps doing these stupid trades?

I guess the other option not mentioned here, is you could also scale out if you are not sure that the trend is going to continue in your favor.

I got a free e-mail from Jack, so I woke up early today with a bias to the short side, took a short scalp using some confirmations of my own, and went back to sleep.

So basically Jack called a trade and was right and I did not have to pay anyone $ 300.00.


"Tomorrow will be great trading on the ES. The market will roll short on the open.

See below

End of Bull retrace
FYI

The four FTT's were put in on ES 5 min bar 77 today.

On the monthly fractal of DJIA we have a two month hitch (identical bars); it diesn't look the volume on the current bar will exceed the prior bar. We conclude that all bars following the current will have lesser value that this bar top.

Kind of a great date in history. Notice that no one has a clue that it happened.

regards,

Jack."
 
Quote from FB123:

So I did some follow-up research, and it does look like doubleyourdating.com actually has some traffic going there...

Using the stats at the following site:

http://www.websiteoutlook.com/www.doubleyourdating.com

We can figure out that they get 42,000 page hits per day, at an average of 2 page hits per user. 1.3% of those page hits go to the order page, so we can assume that on average 273 people per day are actually ordering something. Incredible that anyone would actually pay for this stuff, but...

If 273 people per day are ordering, and he's charging (let's say) $20 per order, then that's $5000 per day, or approximately $2 million per year. He would have to charge $300 apiece to reach the $30 million that was claimed, which given how desperate some guys are out there, might be possible(?). (I still kind of doubt it.. he'd have to upsell a lot of people to go from $2 million to $30 million. Also, it's not clear that every page hit to the order page is actually resulting in a sale - I doubt that's the case.)

Nevertheless, it is obvious that this site probably does make at least million or two a year, just from the traffic to the order page... unless I am misreading it somehow. If he really is making that amount of money, someone should tell the dumb-ass to update his website. It looks like a teenager programmed it for a school project.

the exact numbers brandonf uses are probably wrong - how does he know exactly what his competitors make?

but i agree those sites can make you a millionaire easy when well marketed.

professional looking sites don't convert always that well, amateur sites are much better. For example amateur webcam sites convert better than professional made webcam sites. When you go into marketing, you learn, things aren't always what they seem.

Right now, I still wonder how much money the guys from Fapturbo made, that absolutely horrible name with horrible product. But the marketing was excellent, so they probably made millions.

Quote from northmen202:

On good days the room would have small gains & on the bad days the losses were massive.

The bottom fell out more than once trying to scalp 1 tick long.

Before you know what hit you the room is down 5 or 7 points and loaded up to the hilt with more contracts because he keeps averaging down.

It's a niche style of trading but not geared for the average trader that joins his room.

I would say, he makes money not because of his trading style, but because of his money management. Trading the direction of a short term MA, incorporating MACD, entering in pullbacks isn't uncommon. Alot of traders do that. But the way he makes money is by taking a few ticks and having a 3 point + stop while scaling in more and more size. Do you see what's going on here, this is a glorified martingale strategy.
It seems to make money, but only does so, because of chance, and because of the supposed "with trend" trades.

Robert hoffman is a shrewd marketer. fyi, I subscribed my e-mail to his weekly levels and he always talks about how he is visiting a trading subscriber and how they are so nice. The word nice gets overused, while his subscribers like Jreality keep losing money after paying $300 a month for a trading room without much trading going on. It's all one big happy family, but who is the person that benefits the most?

I feel sorry for the people that paid $2500 a year non-refundable so they could save 2 months in costs :cool:
 
Quote from Jreality:

Yes, that's the room. If everything isn't in perfect alignment with his setups he usually doesn't trade at all. EDIT: On a choppy and flat day that's fine, but on a day that is trending, so far I've been lucky to see one or two 1 point trades at best.

There was one day a couple of weeks ago where he decided to do a seminar on trend-trading that involved looking at setups from screen shots of past charts. The irony, is that while he was doing the seminar on trend-trading using past charts, the /ES was trending nicely that day, but zero trades were taken because he was focusing strictly on giving a teaching presentation, while ignoring the market. Had he done the seminar on a flat day, that would have been fine, but we missed out probably the only potentially highly profitable trading day that week!

Jreality, do you ever wonder how it's weird that he keeps adding new stuff to his trading?
I bet alot of new subscribers were shocked when they learned he also used the 30 min chart. They paid $1000 for 4 webinar videos and he suddenly changes his trading style. And one video of those is in particular eerie, the one where he shows his brokerage statements. You can clearly see how much money he has in his account, and supposedly the statement is audited by his broker. Question is, how did he made his money with his current trading style? What if the money he shows he has is fake? Is the broker in on it?

Do you find it weird he talks about accumulation/distribution later-on, and right now suddenly talks about trend trading?

Have you finally found out how he makes his support and resistance levels, after 6 months?

If the answer is yes and no to the 2 above questions, has he actually educated you or just held you on a string as a sheep paying money for nothing?

Do you think he wants you to have learned something by now, or do you think he will teach you more of his "secret" stuff after 12 months, after 18 months, after 2 years?

He should imo have taught you ALL his stuff by now. Didn't he trade for 15 years... :eek:
 
Quote from FB123:

The actual method that you use to get in doesn't matter too much... there are better ways than just looking at a trendline on a minute chart, but anyways just do the math.... how much would you have been risking by getting in in there? And what was your potential reward? The risk/reward ratio is excellent, and if you take those trades all the time you will make money.

On a related note, when it comes to getting in, don't be too picky about the exact price level. I've seen some idiots sit there and not take a retracement trade because it didn't hit their price by literally ONE TICK. Sometimes the price actually trades at their level but just doesn't fill them. Then they watch the market turn and run the other way for 5 points and say something stupid like "let the market come to you, never chase it". I guess the fact that they just picked an arbitrary price point at an approximate S/R level never occurred to these morons. The market doesn't move to exact price points, it moves to approximate price levels... so if it gets close and starts to turn back, then it's "close enough" - especially in trending conditions. Wait for it to get to an S/R zone, read the price action, and if you're not filled with a limit order, cross the market when it starts to turn.

If risking an extra tick is going to net you a 3-4 point winner, it's worth the risk/reward to do that every time if the price action is telling you that it won't reach your limit order. So the next time it looks like it's ALMOST at your level and is starting to turn back to the trend, get in. The expression "don't be a dick for a tick" applies here.

the problem is when you adjust you entry by a tick, your risk-reward setup decreases not by a tick, but by 2 ticks. not only does you stop increases a tick, you exit decreases a tick too! being a dick for a tick can be a good thing sometimes :p
 
Quote from college_trad3r:

the problem is when you adjust you entry by a tick, your risk-reward setup decreases not by a tick, but by 2 ticks. not only does you stop increases a tick, you exit decreases a tick too! being a dick for a tick can be a good thing sometimes :p

Perhaps, but it still makes sense if the market is heavily trending and you expect a run of at least 3-4 points. On a choppy day on something like ES, you probably shouldn't cross the market as I described... but there should be no reason not to do it on a retracement when the market has been running all day. Of course, this is exactly why I don't trade the ES anyways... there are other instruments that have a much better ratio of slippage to daily range, so you don't have to worry about one tick here or there.
 
And one video of those is in particular eerie, the one where he shows his brokerage statements. You can clearly see how much money he has in his account, and supposedly the statement is audited by his broker. Question is, how did he made his money with his current trading style? What if the money he shows he has is fake? Is the broker in on it?

I don't have that video. Wondering how much was in the account?

Of course, he could always add to the account from the money he makes from the room, and from selling videos, doing seminars, etc.

He claims he gets no special deals from his broker when he mentions how much he likes his broker, although on the other hand he talks about how the broker treats him like an institutional trader and he deals with the guys in the back room when he has a technical issue.

There is also someone from the brokerage always in the room who approaches new traders about potentially switching to the brokerage.

I suppose it is possible the brokerage helped him setup the website.
 
Well....it's getting close to noon EST, and he made 1 /ES point so far today, with 2 contract position for a $100 profit. He said it was very risky and he was planning on scaling in but his profit target was reached first. He previously tried to get in at a higher price but his entry was missed by 1 tick.

I actually made more than him, $375, on that trade because I took 3 contracts and got better entry and exit. I'm not saying I can do that all the time though.
 
Quote from Jreality:

Well....it's getting close to noon EST, and he made 1 /ES point so far today, with 2 contract position for a $100 profit. He said it was very risky and he was planning on scaling in but his profit target was reached first. He previously tried to get in at a higher price but his entry was missed by 1 tick.

I actually made more than him, $375, on that trade because I took 3 contracts and got better entry and exit. I'm not saying I can do that all the time though.

Uh... dude.... the ES dropped about 20 full points in the first hour of trading. 20 POINTS. It was crashing like a stone. He took two trades for a point each? And you actually followed him?

Can I ask you why exactly you are still logging into this room and learning his stupid useless techniques when this guy has proven multiple times over that he couldn't trade his way out of a paper bag? Wouldn't today have been better spent watching the market on your own and figuring out your own way to trade this move? It's obvious that he has nothing useful to teach you.

You do have free access for another few days to this room so you can continue to log in... but it's free access to CRAP, and it's taking your attention away from REALLY learning how to trade. Think about it.... it's teaching you nothing but stupid techniques while wasting your time. I would stop logging in and start figuring out my own way to trade the market if I were you.

I have attached a chart to this post to show you how STUPID his trading method is. Take a look at it in context. See how far this thing dropped, and then see how much profit 1 ES point is on a day like this. Anybody who can't pull out more than 1 point on a day like today royally S-U-C-K-S, and you shouldn't even be listening to him or waste one more minute of your precious time. There are ways to easily catch 70% of this move once you detect that it's running, which isn't that hard to do.

Here's a hint: use a constant volume, tick or range chart, set up a long and short moving average on it, and buy/short when the averages cross in the direction of the trend. DO NOT do this on a time-based chart, they do not work well with MAs. When you detect that the market is running which it OBVIOUSLY was this morning, open up this chart, take a look at the MAs, and get in where appropriate. Then exit on the reverse crossover. There are slightly better ways to get in and out to catch more of the trend, but this is good enough, and will make you a hell of a lot more money on days like today than 1 stupid friggin' point. Go over today's drop and figure out what length of MAs would work well on the ES (if you insist on trading that instrument, I would suggest FDAX or TF personally), and then the next time we start getting a run, USE IT. Your time would have been a lot better spent this morning doing this instead of listening to your so-called "teacher".
 

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