Quote from lescor:
Break the SP500 200 day ma and recent highs with enough of a pop to suck in the money waiting to buy on a pullback and make the stubborn shorts throw in the towel. Then once everyone is long and complacent, a slow rollover as the economy comes back into focus, culminating in a whoosh of selling as all that supply gets blown out and we crash through the October '02 lows.
I agree except for the part about crashing the October lows. I'll think we'll find support there. The economy may be sluggish, but not enough to tank past October