When is recession and correction coming?

So I can conclude a lot of Japanese money is tied into/with the US market. Like the Japanese owns lots of U.S. government bonds and have lots of money invested in the US markets, right?

But ending the zero interest rates indicate that the economy is gradually improving...

So domestically they are getting better, but their economy is still very susceptible to the US conditions...
 
I know this is off the topic, but before Japanese pre-bubble time in early 80's, US economy did not affect Japan as much, because the Japanese did not hold US bonds nor had much money to invest in the US..

Is my conclusion some what correct?
 
Quote from S2007S:

I would make the move sooner than later, why do it when everyone is doing it at once, do it now while everyone is being greedy. Why do it when greed turns to fear.
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Is asking for a 10% return year after year unrealistic?...whats a typical ROI?

cm
 
Quote from cashmoney69:

Is asking for a 10% return year after year unrealistic?...whats a typical ROI?

cm
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Markets rise in some years, fall in some years and trade flat in others.

They don't rise in perpetuity, year after year.
 
Quote from cashmoney69:

Is asking for a 10% return year after year unrealistic?...whats a typical ROI?
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Returns for the stock market are driven by dividends plus growth in earnings plus inflation plus changes in the average P/E ratio.

The dividend yield is a little under 2%.

Real growth in earnings can't exceed growth in real GDP over long periods, and real GDP growth has averaged about 3% over the past century.

Inflation is running a little under 3% currently.

P/E ratios are pretty high, so let's optimisically assume they stay at the current level.

Add these all together and we can expect 2%+3%+3%+0% = 8% annually.

Your fully invested analyst,
Aaron Schindler
Schindler Trading
 
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