when is aapl's earnings?

Quote from cdcaveman:

it will probably show up in the oct nov term structure implieds right when people figure it out.. just my thoughts..
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Nov IV is currently 3.52 point higher than Oct.

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Oct in green, Nov in Blue

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Quote from atticus:

Right.... you may want to tell the MMers as they're pricing Oct under Nov vola.
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now its time to figure out a calender to get back into for earnings... short oct long nov.... i'll have to fuck around with some what ifs to come up with strike selection
 
Quote from cdcaveman:

well that should tell ya everything!!! november it is... thats my bet looking at those vols..
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My bet would be expiration week in October. I've traded AAPL options for a long time and been wrong once. I guess I could be wrong again. Not worth trading until clarity.
 
Quote from cdcaveman:

now its time to figure out a calender to get back into for earnings... short oct long nov.... i'll have to fuck around with some what ifs to come up with strike selection
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Market is pricing an 80% prob. that it's in Nov cycle, but if wrong the calendar will lose $6-$7. The risk is asym as it will only gain a buck or so when the actual date is announced. I would be very careful in AAPL here even though it's almost certain to be a Nov impact.
 
Quote from atticus:

Market is pricing an 80% prob. that it's in Nov cycle, but if wrong the calendar will lose $6-$7. The risk is asym as it will only gain a buck or so when the actual date is announced. I would be very careful in AAPL here even though it's almost certain to be a Nov impact.
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what a binary bet... when do they announce anyone know when that typically is? this is a trade you can put on right as they announce it i'm sure and boom vol in oct will implode liike a mo fo.. that is if its not in oct... theres already enough to speculate i don't wanna speculate on this.. i'm waiting.. i already made a good fucking profit on a calender no reason to give it back..
 
Quote from 1245:

My bet would be expiration week in October. I've traded AAPL options for a long time and been wrong once. I guess I could be wrong again. Not worth trading until clarity.
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There is a precedent (Oct 18, 2011) but AAPL went to a "4th Tuesday" release in 2012. The vols belie a exp week release. In any event, the fly is safer than trading the term-structure.
 
Quote from cdcaveman:

what a binary bet... when do they announce anyone know when that typically is? this is a trade you can put on right as they announce it i'm sure and boom vol in oct will implode liike a mo fo.. that is if its not in oct... theres already enough to speculate i don't wanna speculate on this.. i'm waiting.. i already made a good fucking profit on a calender no reason to give it back..
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Watch the term structure by pushing the data into excel. If the premium on Nov/Oct drops below four you'll want to be ready to bolt. Honestly, it's not a prudent risk. Vols in Nov/Oct should be >six.
 
Quote from atticus:

Watch the term structure by pushing the data into excel. If the premium on Nov/Oct drops below four you'll want to be ready to bolt. Honestly, it's not a prudent risk. Vols in Nov/Oct should be >six.
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ya to me it just makes more sense to wait.... what did you do with those 620/665/710 flys... i'm out on all but one... did you sell? i saw you entered a few others.. didn't see you post and exit
 
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