Quote from konviction:
I agree with cheese, there is no such thing as an edge. This whole "edge" bullshit, is just some over-used word "Traders" like to throw around. For years I thought an "Edge" was a secret mix of indicators and time frames that produced profits, but then I figured out its all a bunch of crap. But by that time, it consumed 3yrs of my life trying to get to the bottom of it.
The most profitable, and most successful traders use the most "simple" systems". Thats been said here, time and time again on ET, and if thats really the case, then these guys that are hiding their so called "secrets" are really just simple trading methods that have been used my millions, and for generations. The only difference is the guys that make money are the ones that are able to follow their plan with consistancy, and discipline .
So to the OP, the reason traders don't tell you their methods, is because 99% of these guys have nothing to give you, or are possibly just too selfish to give you 5min of their time. My method you ask? http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=2726972#post2726972 , and http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=76597 . Some fib plays as well... so there you go, on a platter![]()
Edge does exist, but not in the way most ETers understand it. Technical analysis or simply watching price action won't ever give anyone an edge, knowing how to trade breakouts is not an edge, identifying an arbitrary resistance/support level and trading it isn't an edge. In fact I will go so far as to say that any method that involves predicting price is not an edge.
Specialists have an edge, arbitrageurs have an edge, the high speed/frequency trading programs that are picking up fractions of a penny every min IS an edge. Most retail traders will continue to lose money until they understand what exactly is an edge.