First of all, the only bottoms I want to pick are when I ride the subway, and that's more of a subtle brush followed by a sincere excuse me. Now on to business..
It seems hard for me to believe that if someone calls in sick at company x and it opens down 50% the next day that we could call this a bottom. If you are dead set on thinking this is a bottom, you may miss some opportunities. However, things always seem bad before they get really f'ed up.
Here is what I noticed today, causing me to do the chicken run from some of my shorts.
The tick seemed pretty high today, relative to all the selling. If anyone has an explanation for this, I would like to hear it.
Some junk bond funds started to turn up, which may lead a short rally. Or there are a lot of Junior Warren Buffets running around.
About 50% of the companies out there, maybe less after today are at or near their 200 day moving average, although this reached 20% in Sept.
Short levels are getting pretty high.
Bottom line though, just like Madonna, Im playing both sides for now. Although I have been scaling into some longs via etfs and may just take a month or two off and come back in Sept.
It seems hard for me to believe that if someone calls in sick at company x and it opens down 50% the next day that we could call this a bottom. If you are dead set on thinking this is a bottom, you may miss some opportunities. However, things always seem bad before they get really f'ed up.
Here is what I noticed today, causing me to do the chicken run from some of my shorts.
The tick seemed pretty high today, relative to all the selling. If anyone has an explanation for this, I would like to hear it.
Some junk bond funds started to turn up, which may lead a short rally. Or there are a lot of Junior Warren Buffets running around.
About 50% of the companies out there, maybe less after today are at or near their 200 day moving average, although this reached 20% in Sept.
Short levels are getting pretty high.
Bottom line though, just like Madonna, Im playing both sides for now. Although I have been scaling into some longs via etfs and may just take a month or two off and come back in Sept.
