Hello LacesOut,I'll give you a specific example:
Like this morning in equities, metals:
Inflation news caused a spike downward in both...
and now the retrace has occured....
What can you glean from this 'pattern' of buying/selling behaviour?
Seems to me it was like "OH MY GOD!" and then "Ah, no big deal"...
Obviously, in the longer time frame it's easier to say what was the better indicator..
Does anyone have any experience or testing done that shows if the market's KNEE JERK reaction to news is any more important or valuable an indicator than the move that follows it?
For certain...I haven't deviated from my method...what market doing (and especially why) is irrelevant for a trader
what relevant is how the trader, using his method, will asses the situation (which he suppose to do constantly)
so do not try to get the cue from the market, get the cue from your method
Yes, good post..Hello LacesOut,
I use to be like this as well. I use to wonder why the market did this or did that at 8:30am or 10am, or why this big move, or why inflation is 4 or 3%, or why unemployment news is bad or why this and that. What Obama said this for and what if Trump do this and that.
Then i realize I did not need all that.
I personally do not care why the market move up or down or how fast it moves. I just want to make money and follow whatever way it moves.
I only track what time major news is released and make sure my butt does not have an position in the market during these times.
I use to try and trade the news and loss alot of money. Now I don't care. I just want to make money either way and control the risk. I need to know where I am getting in , and where i am getting out.
I'll give you a specific example
it was like "OH MY GOD!" and then "Ah, no big deal"
Does anyone have any experience
Yes, good post..
I too don't generally trade reports or news...
I happened to be in during the report...
and noted the big swing...
and wondered which would hold (the initial reaction, or the reversal)...
It was the latter today...
Tomorrow?
No of course you are correct ... and I did not ...You need to view things as a hybrid approach, always, kind of.,
But generally, loosely speaking...I would say the trend is your friend.
Don't let quick, maybe temporary, market emotions/gyrations dictate your overall judgement.
Have initial, or semi-initial, market direction conviction...but wait for a slight confirmation.
That's like watching someone on TV throw a pie in the face of someone...and assuming it's safe to say he's also a killer and rapist.
Be an ET, extraterrestrial trader, in 2018.