%%It’s the opposite. It’s far easier for a competent day trader to predict what the market will do in 10 minutes than 3 months. Short term movements appear random if you don’t know how to read price action.
Your statement that you can predict with a “reasonable degree of accuracy” that a stock will be higher in 3 months if market conditions don’t change. Well how do you predict whether the market conditions will not change in 3 months?
DONT REALLY think anyone can ''predict'' what a stock is going to do in 3 hours or 3 months; even a profitable $hort term or long term trader/inVe$tor/LOL.
HOWEVER a good daytrader may come real close on gaps\; a good swing trader using Stock Traders JANUARLY forcaster/88% right.
SORRY when JAN forecaster fails it tends to fail big time/big trends 1987/2009;
but JAN forecaster worked well in qqq/TQQQ was not invented then ............................