Quote from axeman:
You just haven't seen enough system equity curves go FLAT after
several years.
Markets DO become more efficient as inefficiencies are
discovered by the masses.
peace
axeman
I agree that there is no way a trading method can be so diluted by sharing it with any number of traders to have any impact on it's effectiveness.
Axe, the line you quoted was really in reference to the kinds of "systems" that we hear boasted about here on ET by the "5% a day" guys. Obviously I don't take any of them seriously, so I can say anything about them and pretty much be safe from being wrong.
As far as your comment that I have not seen systems go flat after several years, and that market inefficiencies are corrected, did you not read what I said about the program trading I (we all) witnessed in the late 80s? It used to kill me that I couldn't do it. I was on the CBOT (CBOE) and knew the guys and gals who were doing running over at the Merc. The big boys, the Susquehannas, CRTs, Timberhills, and of course the wirehouse guys could virtually print money. Too bad it took so much money to do it. The rich got richer, and the rest of us stood and watched it happen.
Quote from cashonly:
Error404,
I don't understand why you just don't trade it prop.
You've obviously traded prop before as you mentioned schonfeld.
It would be impossible to work this through a prop deal. It is about capitalizing on an order entry anomoly I have discovered. It would be neutralized by attempting to trade "prop".
As I have said.....perhaps I am missing something. Or seeing something that is not really there (yet I used it today...trial run... and it worked perfectly).
I will take a small amount of my own funds and see if I can indeed make my 8-10% per month. I will not risk enough money to hurt me if I am completely wrong. If I am right, I will not make enough to do much more than cover a car payment. (which would be nice, but not life changing).
So that's the current plan. A small trial with real money for a few months.
Backtesting will always show this to work. I already know that, but put little stock in that knowledge. And of course I have never seen anyone not be successful "paper trading". I saw the best trading results of all from Schonfeld trainees when I was there. Kids that never traded before. They were paper trading up a storm. Amazing what perfect fills will do. And of course there were those who passed their series 7 and did not know that you have to buy on the offer and sell on the bid because that wasn't on the test

So they didn't even need a stock to move to make a "profit". They thought they were specialists. Even though they (in many cases) didn't even know what a specialist was. LOL.
Better yet were the guys training on paper to trade SOES. (Does anyone trade SOES any more?).
Peace,

RS