What will be the catalyst to cause the markets to drop?

We're running on damage control.

TARP. The calamity of unemployement , extend benefits. The calamity of people kicked out of their homes, moratorium on foreclosures. Imo, these are unexpected outcomes for crisis. In that light, what's the next problem and the next unexpected bailout? Currently I think we are working with known problems.

Terrorism, would require a re-action rather than take action to the market problems as we do now.
 
Agreed... have a bad vibe from now until expiration.

Quote from El Guapo:

Some very large "checks" will be cashed, possibly at or near the end of next week. That'll take her down a bit, perhaps not an epic crash, but a solid swing down for sure.
 
Quote from tommo:



What will be the catalyst to cause the markets to drop?


sea bed to water surface distance decreases substantially = Wave height increasing

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first wave @ 600 m.p.h. hit Oct 2007

thereafter as the receding wave aka 2nd wave or wave 2, pulled back to far out, far further out than normal at the various beaches, but has anyone noticed? NO. The party goes on and nobody has even noticed that the ship called USA has a cracked hull - poverty, REAL unemployment @ 22% et., etc.,

3rd wave approaching @ 1,400 m.p.h.

when wave height hits 30 feet there will be no mistaking it.

That will be the catalyst.
 
Quote from tommo:

Looking around on these forums everybody is extremely negative. Whether its hyper-inflation, World War 3, the end of US and EU... i could go on.

Im not one to claim i know better, so i am assuming the economy really is in such a desperate position and its only a matter of time before the world comes to its senses and sell all US assets or Euro breaks up or countries default on sovereign debt etc

But the markets, on the whole, are quite content bobbing around up 4-5% here, down 4-5% there, companies are announcing profits, economic figures are turning up (slowly).

You cant possibly assume the enlightened crowd on ET are the only people the world who know how the world REALLY is. So where is the "inevitable" crash? What is the catalyst that will drive us into the next wave of financial meltdown? Because from what I see people have been talking about all these doomsday scenarios for the past two years and the stock market has been rising the whole time.

Shouting at the market for being wrong doesnt make you any money, the market is always right and at the moment the market says "recovery is here to stay". Maybe in 5 years time we will see a meltdown but are you going to stay on the sidelines/short the whole time? What is the realistic catalyst to bring the world to its senses?

I'm waiting for the next terrorist attack, the stocks will drop to the lowest points in the ENTIRE history of this country. Then I will buy buy buy and live in hapiness.
 
I don't believe there will be an terrorist attack. Obama is just using the Bush playbook. The market will probably go sky high as the Fed collapses the dollar with QE2.
 
Quote from dandxg:

I don't believe there will be an terrorist attack. Obama is just using the Bush playbook. The market will probably go sky high as the Fed collapses the dollar with QE2.

I concur to the brevity of that statement.
 
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