The government shouldn't have bailed out Bear Stearns, Fannie, Freddie or AIG. They did the right thing by conserving (taking over) Fannie and Freddie, so they can see how bad it is, which will take a long time going through $5.0 trillion of assets. But, they shouldn't guarantee those bonds. The word "implicit" doesn't exist anywhere in law.
The government thinks the S&L model of the RTC will work this time. It won't. Why? because the amount of bad paper they are going to take over is going to be astronomical - the gov't doesn't have a clue how much is this is going to cost - most people don't. It boils down simply the government doesn't have the money to do this. The tax burden to back this will be so great, it will impact the economy adversely like anything we've ever seen. The double whammy is, selling treasuries to foriegn governments will not do much to plug the hole. Why? Because foriegn governments are no longer going to over pay for our long treasuries. Buyers of the full faith and backing of the US government, will increase their risk premimum, before they buy these bonds. Why? Because they will see the full faith and backing of the US government will be less certain than it was. They are going to want to be compensated for their risk in T-Bills, so interest rates will go up accross the board.
Governments that take over businesses and markets, is a sign of desperation. The band aid motive of maintaining confidence, is like putting a band aid on gun shot wounds.
Next comes Chrysler, then American Airlines, Ford, GM and you can add a few more, that say we are too important to fail. The government will bail them out too or in effect take them over. The die has been cast.
Risk and the possibility of failure in markets and the business, is part of the equation. Government has a role in limited but effective enforcement of regulation. But, the government has no business in being the controlling player in the game.
Failure is failure and it has to be accepted as such.
Government taking a controlling role will backfire. It will make it worse. Maybe not right away. But, risk taking regardless of size is what drives business. Problem is these idiots of the failed and failing financial institutions and investment banks had no idea of what the risk was.