An insurer can never be its own re-insurers in trading! And there is no re-insurers available in trading!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reinsurance
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reinsurance
i doubt he had a track record of 30% compounded for 20 years.Hi marketsurfer,
Glad to have a friend of VN here. VN fascinates me. His track record of 30% CAGR for 20 years is fascinating. What is even more fascinating that he blew up 2 times despite such an impressive, long track record. 20 years is a long time to prove a track record and a 20-year profitable trader should have been through enough ups and downs to learn about the do and don't. Furthermore, from what I read about VN, he is surely way up my superior in terms of intelligence. What takes me 2 hours to absorb probably takes him 10 minutes. Yet, he blew up twice. His high IQ intimidated his own risk management team and let him override them?
Do you think something changed in the market after 1997 that made VN more prone to blow-ups? I find it hard to believe he was lucky for the first 20 years and then, got unlucky in the next 10 years. 20 years is really a long time for luck to last that long.
Is it accurate to say he blew up because of a large, over-concentrated and leveraged position?
Clearly he was oversized. One of the most surprising things about trading to me is the realization of how even many experienced traders are very poor at position sizing. Hence why so many cling to the 2% rule like a panicked overboard sailor clinging to a life preserver. VN wasn't panicked but he clearly didn't know when he was overbetting.
A photo just happened to be snapped of me when VN was looking down at his phone as the bad news was coming in----first time this has been made public--- he was out of the room within 15 seconds of this photo--
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, rather than selling them for premium.What's VN's story now...is he like bankrupt...well not literally bankrupt, but relatively speaking to his higher flying/peak days?
Marty Schwartz has a better/higher record. You can make more trading options, rather than selling them for premium.
Hi marketsurfer,
Glad to have a friend of VN here. VN fascinates me. His track record of 30% CAGR for 20 years is fascinating. What is even more fascinating that he blew up 2 times despite such an impressive, long track record. 20 years is a long time to prove a track record and a 20-year profitable trader should have been through enough ups and downs to learn about the do and don't. Furthermore, from what I read about VN, he is surely way up my superior in terms of intelligence. What takes me 2 hours to absorb probably takes him 10 minutes. Yet, he blew up twice. His high IQ intimidated his own risk management team and let him override them?
Do you think something changed in the market after 1997 that made VN more prone to blow-ups? I find it hard to believe he was lucky for the first 20 years and then, got unlucky in the next 10 years. 20 years is really a long time for luck to last that long.
Is it accurate to say he blew up because of a large, over-concentrated and leveraged position?