Can't comment on Optimal F, but Kelly is mathematically optimal in a casino-like setting where the outcomes follow a known fixed distribution which is the same for every iteration, and you can play a very large (unlimited) number of rounds. In trading, the risk and reward are constantly shifting with the market, so the assumptions required for optimality don't apply.I would like to know the best answer to this- Kelly or Optimal F or any other method?
The point of Kelly is to grow as fast as possible. If you like, think of trading as a car metaphor: in theory if you knew your route perfectly you could always drive the maximum on every road without even looking out the window. That's Kelly. In reality you don't know if there is ice or fallen trees on some sections until you get there.
Given the tremendous amount of uncertainty in trading, I think it makes more sense to try to grow your bankroll at at a safe rate instead of the maximum rate. You need to stay in the game to win it. I suggest building the best model you can for the volatility of your returns. Then look at things like look at things like volatility targeting, sharpe, VaR, maxDD. Limit your risk to something very comfortable so that you can never blow up. If you are not making enough money this way, using a lot more leverage is unlikely to be the answer. Instead improve your edge, find more edges and diversify, trade OPM.