setting the bar a bit low? qqq YTD is +16%...
for financial freedom you need to catch just 1 supercycle... just 1.
the US equity is in the middle of such a super cycle.
those who caught the real estate in SF, Vancouver, Toronto, Beijing, Shanghai... you know what I am talking about.
this chasing the chart up and down for a couple of ticks everyday... pathetic and pointless.
Totally true and agreed. Most people will see at least 1 supercycle(if not more) in their lifetime.
Internet stocks in 1999-2000. Go super long. Then got out.
U.S. real estate 2002-2006
Vancour, Shanghai, Toronto RE
Cryptos 2013 to January 2018. I wished I had gotten in earlier. I got in pretty late from Oct 2017 to Jan 2018. Still made OK. But I could have made a killing if I gotten in earlier...
But I'm superglad by then my trading skills have improved so I got out near the top(16K). Then I re-enter near 18-19K. But I exited as soon as it started going down. I thank everyday that my trading skills have been honed by then. Else it would have been a top wipeout.
I didn't make much because I didn't buy much. I was waiting for the exchange to approve me size. By the time they got around to approving it was Jan 2018. At least I didn't get killed HODLing it.
Hunt for the next bubble...
But the problem is some people get lucky and cash out without never learned how to to trade. Some people get lucky in the beginning but didn't sell until the end when their windfall fortune disappeared. All supercycles end. All bubbles end.
I understand a lot of people on ET are full-time traders so they need to intraday/swing trade. Even on the intraday horizon, I still think it's BETTER to do intraday swing trading instead of scalping for ticks.
Even for the couple of hours I trade in the morning, I'm always just AMAZED at the movements in NQ. So many points up then down then up and down. All day long. Of course, I can't catch them up all, but the possibilities/opportunities are endless.
But even easier was just to long 2009 and just held for the next 10 years. I wished I had done that with just QQQs. Or if you had the stomach for it, go long NQ futures in 2009 and continually roll over. Incredible returns.
But here we are...
Now that I have learned to catch uptrends and downtrends, I'm hoping the next 5 years will be my time to catch the bigger moves. Put to work the hard lessons learned from the past trading mistakes.
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