Fading Marketsurfer calls, initial entry point for a scalp, then stop to Breakeven on half, works very well.
Quote from hoodooman:
JJ: There are no trades or setups that I "consistently" make money on, by the way. They don't exist.
lol
Quote from J.Joseph:
Sorry you think that's funny. The truth is, they don't have to exist to make money.
I put in a trade today at 166.76 on the SPY with a stop at 166.60. I have no guarantee that I'll win, but I think for only $0.16 per share it is worth it to find out.
The EMA that the price reached has received a lot of play in this past trend, so it's a logical place to take a stab. If I'm wrong about this one and I lose, I'll take the next one too. If I lose on that one I'll take the one after that. If I lose 5 times in a row, then win the 6th one, I break even. The odds are heavily stacked in my favor over time since I have already won 3 out of 4 this last two weeks off that same EMA (and another 5 out of 8 with a different setup strategy).
I know that's difficult to believe because of the real possibility of a gap down. But how often does a gap like that happen? And how often do I take advantage of small risk margins like this? Point being, even with a gap down and a loss of more than the $0.16, I still come out ahead over time. The frequencey and size of gaps while holding overnight doesn't overshadow the growth that occurs from the wins minus the planned risk. As a whole package, I have a winning method, so I don't need "this one trade" to win.
Quote from galvinlee888:
This strategy work well in highly trend market, but how about when the market turn chop and whipsaw? Those little small stabd will add up and will eat you alive.
Note : MA or any other smoothing indicator is a delay instrument, you will suffer a lot of stabs before it start to tell you market is whipsaw, which is too late that time.
Quote from J.Joseph:
Sorry you think that's funny. The truth is, they don't have to exist to make money.
I put in a trade today at 166.76 on the SPY with a stop at 166.60. I have no guarantee that I'll win, but I think for only $0.16 per share it is worth it to find out.
The EMA that the price reached has received a lot of play in this past trend, so it's a logical place to take a stab. If I'm wrong about this one and I lose, I'll take the next one too. If I lose on that one I'll take the one after that. If I lose 5 times in a row, then win the 6th one, I break even. The odds are heavily stacked in my favor over time since I have already won 3 out of 4 this last two weeks off that same EMA (and another 5 out of 8 with a different setup strategy).
I know that's difficult to believe because of the real possibility of a gap down. But how often does a gap like that happen? And how often do I take advantage of small risk margins like this? Point being, even with a gap down and a loss of more than the $0.16, I still come out ahead over time. The frequencey and size of gaps while holding overnight doesn't overshadow the growth that occurs from the wins minus the planned risk. As a whole package, I have a winning method, so I don't need "this one trade" to win.