True
OP, why options vs swing trading vs long buy & hold?
All it takes is mastery to get the strategy to 'hopefully' being a winner each time.
Win some, lose some, breakeven - many just lose & lose again ... all it takes is time, skill, patience & a crystal ball.
Folks will chest thump about their winners, less or never about losing trades.
A simple example on UVXY one that is a forever decaying stock.
https://www.splithistory.com/uvxy/
Even with current events & spikes in the VIX, playing UVXY is a time game going long. UVXY went from $12 to $120 from mid February to mid March & is now down at $45.
Like many other stocks/ETF's the are tens of different strategies on the VIX & UVXY.
For now a few simple option strategy combinations, that have been discussed & written about previously.
UVXY historical price after a reverse split is approx $36, usually splits around $7 - $8 price
Using a basic option price calculator, theoretical results are approx, as follows.
http://www.option-price.com/index.php
With UVXY (long option) high IV 130%++ seeing its historical decay, an ATM 365 day to expiry covered call will pay approx $16, basically a drop to $20 is breakeven.
On the other side an DITM covered call at $18 will pay approx $24, downside to $12
Then there is the vertical debit spread, $10/$18 strike, cost $4 ($28-$24), max loss $4.
And of course with the decaying stock price & time decay its always best to close the options positions if the trade is about to lose money, or close on a profit.
Then there is the puts, just selling puts.
The ATM $36 put should pay ~$16
The $18 put should pay ~$5
The $10 put should pay ~$1.67
Combination trade
Lets take the next post reverse split, with the stock at $36, sell the long 365 day to expiry call & put ATM, receive ($18+$16) $36. Downside to $2, upside to $70
OP be interested in your personal views & opinion on swing trading, the strategies, any successes & failures?
I don't claim to be an expert, I have only been trading since Nov 2019. And picked up more heavily in 2020 because of corona.
In my short history I have been good with spotting trends and setting safety nets. When stocks begin their downward decline of corona, I had no idea what was going to happen in the first few days, but all my safety nets sold whatever stock I had before I had a loss, or in 2 cases, a small loss.
For the loss, I had bought PSX at 98, I find it very unique for the oil field, and could've lost 50% but had a stop limit at 92 as it was already down a lot for the year. It dropped all the way into the 40's, where I bought that amount again. It's now up to 60 and yes it will struggle to gain momentum with low oil demand, but still a very good stock and I was able to take advantage of price fluctuation as a swing trader because my capital was not tied up.
BA was another stock I bought twice and will sell twice, profit over $10k on a $10k investment.
With so much liquidity, I could buy BP at 16, sell at 24
Buy HD at 160, sell at 200
Buy LOW at 70, still have it
Profit heavily of cruise stock because I know people WANT them to succeed, emotionally, and will overbuy because of how undervalued they seem, but I feel out of CCL , RCL and NCL one of them has to fail. The demand will not be there for a year regardless of restrictions. So I am playing market sentiment instead of the companies themselves.
etc.
this doesn't include biotech stocks which are good for short term gains, so many small ones just shoot up based on some arbitrary study and you've already doubled investment.
We will see how it holds up long term because from a stock perspective, I have been lucky with corona as it provides relatively predictable fluctuations. My 26k initial invest is at 74 right now and there are stocks to be had.
So with puts and calls, I now see the benefit, but I rather be able to move quickly like a samurai and yes, there will be losses like psx where I lost 8% and then my limit sold, but it far outweighs just being stuck under in a crashing market or underperforming stock.