What is the monthly expected return trading stocks?

[Evermore2017]

In average.
Daytrading.
Account size: $30K

 

[cvds16]

there is no such thing as an average expected monthly return

 

[JackRab]

Depending on where you sit on the gambling curve and your luck ratio... realistically, anywhere between -100% and +100%... non-normal distributed.

But average maybe -10%?

 

[Simples]

If investing theres no monthly return as you need to hold onto positions. Maybe +1-3% on average with most months being red.

More active could be -5-20% range or even less depending on activity level.

Of course educators wont tell you this and you wont believe it either.

 

[Simples]

If investing theres no monthly return as you need to hold onto positions. Maybe -3 - +3% on average with most months being red.

More active could be -5 - -20% range or even less depending on activity level.

Of course educators wont tell you this and you wont believe it either.

 

[JackRab]

Of course educators wont tell you this and you wont believe it either.

Yeah, if you add the cost of a monthly 'mentor' or education... probably more like -30% hahaa

 

[JackRab]

Now, I'd say invest in SPXS beginning of 2018. But.....what do I know?

Investing in a 3x bear fund? That's one way to blow up...

 

[JackRab]

I could say bonds. I could say trade physical oil and arb it.

It's all meaningless until of course it isn't.

I'll give you the exact date when I get it, and we can track it together. But, in two-three years when I'm correct. You've got to invest your life savings with me. Deal?

Hmm.. that would mean I bear the full risk and you just risk a bit of damage to your good online nickname

 

[theapprentice]

Investing in a 3x bear fund? That's one way to blow up...

 

[birzos]

In average.
Daytrading.
Account size: $30K

On mid timeframe charts, like 60mn, 1-2% per month assuming you are in the top 1% who are the only ones making any profits, with account sizes in the high 5figures and low 6figures.

Unless you have something seriously special, remembering the top 1% have the same knowledge close to or above a millionaire, with your account size the expectancy is negative.

Simply because your capital does not produce a positive return on effort without decades of experience behind you. The average is skewed to the top, that's synthetic asset classes at work.

<top1% loss
=top1% break even
top1% 1-2% per month
top0.1% 3-5% per month
top0.01% 7-10% per month
top0.001% 15-20% per month

The top 0.001% who generate those returns consistently over 15-20years starting with $1,000 capital will become a billionaire, there are currently 2,500 or so who have succeeded.

The reason why everyone says there is no average, they're trying to sell you something outside of the top1%, they're outside of the top1% themselves, they're not smart enough to calculate the figures. Usually it's a combination of all three.