market is up .75% this week and the medium term volatility is also up a lot too? Anyone else notice this?
really bad for call sellers to have rising IV and rising prices
really bad for call sellers to have rising IV and rising prices
What is going on with volatility
- Thread starter tradelosses
- Start date
. You guys "might" want to be tracking the Brexit. Probably the biggest vol event in the last 5 years is days away. LOL. Yeah, don't worry, the vol world knows about it.
That's right... If you look at the term structure of vol in pretty much any asset at the moment, you'll see a very clear kink. It's all about Brexit being priced, rather than all the other randomness.
When are the results suppose to be released. Want to make sure I'm flat.
- My educated guess is that the market is nervous due to being at an all time high.
- When the market is nervous volatility goes up.
- Fear is also rising.
I haven't been following any of the Brexit news until today lol. Any input on what you to expect to happen if they do exit?
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/world/europe/britain-european-union-brexit.html?_r=0
I don't know that Britain leaving the EU...or not... will have that much of a negative effect here in the states.
Personally: I could care less.
First of all there will be a two year negotiation period with the EU whereby terms of the exit will be finalized. I anticipate that a lot of the economic effect (e.g. tariffs) will be negotiated away.
The biggest issue as far as I am concerned is the effect on "open borders". The UK, like all of Europe has been hurt by the open borders policy because a lot of immigrants without means or skills have migrated to the UK (via the Chunnel) which has greatly increased the social cost of being a member of the EU. A lot of people are tired of all the foreigners sleeping on the streets of London and elsewhere waiting to become eligible for social services (I think it's six months) and then set up shop on the taxpayers tab and help import more people like themselves.
This can't continue and if it does continue the back of the British economy will be broken and Britain will become just as bad as the slums these immigrants are fleeing. THIS is the often unspoken nightmare that promoters of a Brexit want to stop. (If you think this is similar to Trump and the Mexicans... it is.)
Because London has become the de-facto center of European trade there WILL be a large effect on real-estate prices in London as people and company headquarters are relocated to continental Europe.
I don't know that Britain leaving the EU...or not... will have that much of a negative effect here in the states.
Personally: I could care less.
First of all there will be a two year negotiation period with the EU whereby terms of the exit will be finalized. I anticipate that a lot of the economic effect (e.g. tariffs) will be negotiated away.
The biggest issue as far as I am concerned is the effect on "open borders". The UK, like all of Europe has been hurt by the open borders policy because a lot of immigrants without means or skills have migrated to the UK (via the Chunnel) which has greatly increased the social cost of being a member of the EU. A lot of people are tired of all the foreigners sleeping on the streets of London and elsewhere waiting to become eligible for social services (I think it's six months) and then set up shop on the taxpayers tab and help import more people like themselves.
This can't continue and if it does continue the back of the British economy will be broken and Britain will become just as bad as the slums these immigrants are fleeing. THIS is the often unspoken nightmare that promoters of a Brexit want to stop. (If you think this is similar to Trump and the Mexicans... it is.)
Because London has become the de-facto center of European trade there WILL be a large effect on real-estate prices in London as people and company headquarters are relocated to continental Europe.