I'm politically neutral and don't participate in the US election (I'm a foreigner). But I believed until today that Trump would win the election this November.
But now that he's been convicted I think this is a genuine big deal. Not so much that Trump can't shake it off in a few days and no way he will do jail time. The problem is he is technically a convicted criminal. And even though many people will still vote for him - the stigma of voting for a criminal will keep quite a few voters away (who otherwise would have voted). If the average American turns down the job application from joe average because he once spent 3 months in jail - there is no way that American voters will psychologically say yes to the con on the ballot.
DJT has been up based on the likelihood of Trump winning. Now that my conviction has changed based on his conviction (that was cute, eh) - where does DJT go now?
Is it a smart play to start shorting here?
But now that he's been convicted I think this is a genuine big deal. Not so much that Trump can't shake it off in a few days and no way he will do jail time. The problem is he is technically a convicted criminal. And even though many people will still vote for him - the stigma of voting for a criminal will keep quite a few voters away (who otherwise would have voted). If the average American turns down the job application from joe average because he once spent 3 months in jail - there is no way that American voters will psychologically say yes to the con on the ballot.
DJT has been up based on the likelihood of Trump winning. Now that my conviction has changed based on his conviction (that was cute, eh) - where does DJT go now?
Is it a smart play to start shorting here?