What is an "edge"?

An edge is being well capitilized, from that position and using a methodical stop out system one can do very well. It doesn't require a sophisticated system, many simple systems work.
Hence one reason new traders struggle, they start off undercapitilized and often the fear of losing their meagre money sees them abort a position at the wrong moment.
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So far, here's what I've manage to come up with:

1) Edge is a pattern. It could simply be a price pattern on the chart, or it could be a behavior pattern (eg. the interaction between me and/or the market).
2) Edge must be repeatable. It can be repeated, replicated, duplicated each and every day.
3) Edge has a high probability of success.
4) Good entry is a must. Good exit is a must.
5) Good entry is useless, however, if your timing is off.
6) There is no good exit. There is only a proper exit (eg. let your winner run, cut your losses).
7) Good entry is critical, but good exit is even more crucial.
8) Good entry is one with good risk:reward ratio.
9) Getting in too early or too late is a high risk trade.
10) Getting out too early or too late is a low reward trade.
11) Human actions are governed by law (eg. natural law, judicial law, etc.).
12) Laws are devised to preserve self-interests.
13) Hence, human actions are governed by self-interests.
14) Markets are designed to exploit emotions (eg. greed and fear).
15) Prices are pegged to greed and fear.

Pareto Principle (80/20 Rule):

16.1) The market trends only 20% of the time.
16.2) Only 20% of the market participants will consistently make significant amount of money over time.
16.3) What you thought was a winner will turn out to be a loser 80% of the time.
16.4) 80% of the losses can be offset by 20% of the gains.
16.5) 80% of the profit comes from 20% of knowledge and effort. The other 80% is luck.
16.6) 80% of the worst trading decisions almost always stem from lack of discipline, which can be attributed to innate flaws and errors (eg. personality flaws, judgmental errors, etc).
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17) Follow the herd―just don't be the last one in line.
18) Do not bottom-fish or pick the top. Trends usually aren't over until you're stopped out.
19) Profit/loss is determined not by where you enter but where you exit.
20) Entry anticipates the future. Exit reflects on the past.
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Very true. Experience is the greatest teacher. Moreover, I have to question whether mechanical/algo trading is really better than discretionary trading. While mechanical trading does eliminate emotion (until losses mount), there is a big drawback: intuition. Intuition is the sixth sense of trading that comes only from long years of arduous struggle, namely, experience.

Intuition is something that the trader has yet to find a way to put it into words (and/or numbers), and include it as part of his mechanical trading process. Everything can be placed into an algo.
 

I was referring to trading algo.

Your link is describing driverless algo. It's still work in progress and they have yet to input a driver's "intuition" into the algo. That's why there are issues. The examples quoted from the article:

  • A person standing in a crosswalk looking at their phone is probably distracted, for example, so the driver knows to yield.
  • A group of kids playing around on the sidewalk could tumble into the street, so caution is advised.
  • A motorcyclist at an intersection touches their feet to the ground, so it's probably safe to proceed.
The AI developer needs to have all these into the algo and more that are not listed.
 
Trading is harder than driving a car. Ergo.

If you see a person from behind, in a crowd, at a distance... based on context and heuristics, you can very quickly assess with high accuracy if you know that person. Without ever even accessing your mental database of all the people known to you, and without the required data to even perform an accurate search of your mental database. A computer can't do that.
 
Trading is harder than driving a car. Ergo.

If you see a person from behind, in a crowd, at a distance... based on context and heuristics, you can very quickly assess with high accuracy if you know that person. Without ever even accessing your mental database of all the people known to you, and without the required data to even perform an accurate search of your mental database. A computer can't do that.

I agree with the driving part. lol

Recognising someone from behind does the dig into your memory even if for a split second. The computer can store that action/posture/movement in it's database , do a query and match it. Every problem in the world that can't be solved is just the lack of a creative solution or probably a current technological incapability.
 
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