Maybe Joe will win and we will all write checks to our accountants and attorneys trying to escape the taxes. The rest will be inescapable though.You don't get 14 point leads, thats what..
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View attachment 240875
https://www.investors.com/tag/ibdtipp-poll/
False. What if all or more of the difference in the polls is in CA, NY, Mass and Ill.The RCP average would need to be off by at least 5 points right now in Trump's favor for him to have a chance of winning.
The RCP average would need to be off by at least 5 points right now in Trump's favor for him to have a chance of winning.
He only lost by 2 points in the popular vote last time. Think about the margins he won by in PA (.72%), MI (.23%), and WI (.77%). Do you really think he can lose by 2-3 more points nationally without surrendering those state margins? The polls in those states aren't showing that. There's a lot more polling in them this time too. If they're off the national average by 4 points instead of 3 this time and Biden is up 5, Biden still wins.False. What if all or more of the difference in the polls is in CA, NY, Mass and Ill.
yes. In fact, he won the popular vote when you take out CA.He only lost by 2 points in the popular vote last time. Think about the margins he won by in PA (.72%), MI (.23%), and WI (77%). Do you really think he can lose by 2-3 more points nationally without surrendering those state margins? The polls in those states aren't showing that. There's a lot more polling in them this time too.
Reminder-----Hillary won 4 states by 93k total in 2016 and 1 of those was less than 3k. She was just that close to almost not winning.He only lost by 2 points in the popular vote last time. Think about the margins he won by in PA (.72%), MI (.23%), and WI (.77%). Do you really think he can lose by 2-3 more points nationally without surrendering those state margins? The polls in those states aren't showing that. There's a lot more polling in them this time too. If they're off the national average by 4 points instead of 3 this time and Biden is up 5, Biden still wins.
...unless you subtract the votes of illegal aliens, dead people and non-residents in which case you could include California and Trump still won.yes. In fact, he won the popular vote when you take out CA.
Good point----and the extra ballots found after the election....unless you subtract the votes of illegal aliens, dead people and non-residents in which case you could include California and Trump still won.