Quote from speculatus:
spread is huge, price may drop/spike on a zero volume, and those stocks rarely do good moves.
but the specialist can be your friend as long as you trade with him on the same side
A 50,000 average volume stock... actually trades very efficiently 90% of the time.
Price spikes in my stocks...
Which have NOT been chosen randomly...
Are usually a sign of market inefficiency...
And, very selectively, using professional judgement...
An opportunity to exploit.
You need a good spread in your favor to double your Quantitative Edge...
I flip for $0.04 to $0.07 all day long...
And am paying about $0.006 round trip
Once you get above 100,000 average volume...
You begin to see a lot of black box trading...
And if you wanna be professional about it...
You gotta be running algos...
With a minimum tech budget of about 200K/year...
(Which buys you 2 engineers + infrastructure)...
So you really need profits of 500K to 1000K annually...
To support even a low-budget Algo Operation.
Scalping is far more optimal than playing "moves"...
Because while waiting for a $1.00 move that may or may not happen...
Or will go against you 45% of the time...
You can always scalp for $0.05 dozens of times...
Regardless of whether it ever moves or not.
The Specialist or MM is never anyone's friend.
And I don't care how the MM is manipulating the market today...
Because it's always a short term effect.
So it's either a small cost of doing business...
Or it works to my advantage when things revert to mean...
Overall... I'm 100% sure that I've been taking real money away from the MM for 15 years.
The MMs ** know ** that we are Mortal Adversaries...
And have been f*cking with my orders since Day One.
The changes of the last 6 months...
With more market fragmentation...
Have definitely made it MORE profitable for me.