What Does It Mean To Bet Against The Herd ???

In trading terms why would anyone want to bet against the herd ?

imho in trading terms the herd consist of masses without the functional method

therefore each and every trade of someone with the functional method is a bet against the herd
 
In trading terms why would anyone want to bet against the herd ?

If everyone is buying AMZN one day and it is rallying why would you go against and short ?

IMO contrarians tend to be value investors and while some may operate on shorting overvalued stocks, I would think it more common for a contrarian to go long on under-valued stocks. This doesn't seem like a style of investing that would align with a day trader at all. Day traders don't care about the intrinsic value of a company.

A contrarian is betting that the stock will return to its intrinsic value at some point at that they will be able to buy at a discount in the meantime.
 
In trading terms why would anyone want to bet against the herd ?

If everyone is buying AMZN one day and it is rallying why would you go against and short ?


It means that you would rather be right than make money.
 
In trading terms why would anyone want to bet against the herd ?

If everyone is buying AMZN one day and it is rallying why would you go against and short ?

if your method calls for that (for example your system indicates resistans at this level) you should short it
 
It means that you would rather be right than make money.


Exactly !

The right thing for trader is to follow his method., even if it means loosing money on some particular trade.

But the method should be the right one :)
 
How I trade.
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Who is selling to everyone? For every buyer there has to be a seller.
But sometimes the buyers(the herd) buy at the ask, at higher and higher prices; and at other times the sellers(the herd) are selling at the bid, at lower and lower prices
 
In trading terms why would anyone want to bet against the herd ?

If everyone is buying AMZN one day and it is rallying why would you go against and short ?

Maybe to get a great price on the short? Averaging shorts into rallies can be extremely lucrative. surf
 
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