What Does It Mean To Bet Against The Herd ???
- Thread starter Fundlord
- Start date
As a retail trader you should follow the 'herd' ie market's direction. My cousin's fund was shorting AMZN years back based on weak fundamentals only to close position at a substantial loss. I also believe that fundamentals make little sense as basically it's just an opinion, there are lots of opinions out there, what matters is the herd's direction. Follow, but be cautious that nothing lasts forever.
What is generally meant by that is that seasoned traders pick up on trend change and particularly trend reversal before the herd does, which commonly doesn't know anything about that sort of thing, c.f., those who saw the lower high in '00 as a "buying opportunity".
The correctly-formed head&shoulders is a classic example of professionals manipulating the herd, particularly since so many of the herd who think they know what a head&shoulders is, don't.
Side effects of spending so much cyber time with scribblers.No flies on you, G
That, along with the rash.
Roses carry their own thorns.
To bet against the herd means to be a contrarian. If you bet against the herd, you are likely to be trampled into a pancake. Betting against the herd only works at inflection points, which are difficult to determine, thus most traders try to trade in the direction of the major trend.
The biggest secret why most "elite ET" loss is NOT because they go against the herd, but they go against Fed !!