Quote from detective:
He's right about commodities going up in price but its hard to catch the whole spot price move because of carrying costs for most commodities due to a contango market for most of them. You have a negative rolling yield which is a significant drag on the performance of the futures contract that you are long, i.e. sugar, cotton, gold which are all contango markets.
thats right, when energy finnaly started showing some backwardation he comes out saying he prefers agriculture
