Sold !Pullback is a short term reversal
Reversal is a long term pullback
Long term consists of many short terms.
They cancel out which is why they market only goes up.
Sold !Pullback is a short term reversal
Reversal is a long term pullback
Long term consists of many short terms.
They cancel out which is why they market only goes up.
how do yall tell the difference between a pullback and reversal?
but how else are you trading then if not anticipating a move based on the information you gathered?(i never said that i want to predict the future in any of my posts even though ive been accused of doing that multiple times)
a little bit more back story to this post
i watch tim sykes because he also trades penny stocks.
i try to trade penny stocks but at the same time i also watch closely what is happening in 1-5 range and 5-15 range. i attempt to trade them once in a while but i noticed CURRENTLY those stocks have ridiculous sellofs(fast and big) much faster selloffs than penny stocks. because ALL scalpers follow same strategy and all of them are trading 5-15 dollar range so its a game of musical chairs at the moment. and ross cameron seems to be good at that. since he is profiting rather big. i tried and failed in that range because im not yet that good at hitting that sell button before the quick selloff by other scalpers.
i was watching ross'sss video yesterday and he was going over last year trades. and something got my attention. as good as he is. he was losing his ass last year on basically same patterns that he is trading this year. and this year he is killing it.
the only thing that changed it seems that he didnt understand the patterns and couldnt get in the zone to trade them successfully.
i started with robbing hood account in 2019 casually trading but spent more time studying than actual chart time.
this year is technically the first year where im consistently sitting in front of charts every day.
so i dont know how you would even add up my "experience"
i cant afford a mentor like tim sykes or ross so i use the interwebs to learn.
and even local people who i personally know who are successful dont want to spend an extra minute teaching anyone
as soon as anyone is profitable they automatically roll out their "pro trader bundle" for the low price of 3000...
Aloha mute,
Why are you so dead set on trading penny stocks, when everyone here is screaming, DONT! Just trade less size with higher priced stocks. The flow of trades is more efficient, making it easier to trade.
In all honesty, no, you weren't good at picking tops, you were lucky. The market hasn't changed on bit. I might be coming across harsh, but this is the reality of your situation. What is your strategy anyways? How were you picking tops and predicting breakout before? I bet if you posted some charts of your trades (highly suggested), you'd get some feedback.
What is your risk on each trade? What it your target reward? Are you setting a target or 'letting the profits run' lol. For you, I suggests the former. Nothing worse for the psyche than a big winner turning into a loser. If you were up a lot, take at least a little bit of that pie as it comes back to your stop.
Finally, the answer. These are the first things i think about. There are morer, but I think these are the most important
1. Where you are in the cycle of: Breakout, Pullback, Channel, Trading Range?
The end of the cycle (Trading range) doesn't necessarily mean a reversal. There could be a BO in the same direction (most likely situation as odds of continuation are always higher than odds of reversal) and the cycle resets in the same direction. BO, PB, Channel, TR.
All reversals start in the TR.
All PBs are what turn into reversals, so I'll call everything a PB until it proves itself to be a reversal.
Knowing the answer to: "Is it TIME for a PB or a reversal" is very important
2. What do the bars leading up to the PB look like? (body size, percent body, overlap with previous bar, strength of these bars compared with the bars of the previous with-trend leg)? What about close location, upper and lower wicks? Are there consecutive bull/bear bars?
3. Angle of this PB vs the previous one
4. Bars in this PB vs the previous one
5. Types of bars in this PB vs the previous one. Strength of the bar (body size, percent body, overlap with previous bar)
6. Type of day and previous day (Trend, range)
7. More stuff, but getting tired of typing.
When I read your post title, I knew it was almost certainly you or eleanorK80 asking. Last response for a while, mute. I tried to point you in the right direction via PM more than 2 months ago, with no response.
GL on your journey.
If you can't predict the future then why are you trading? I couldn't imagine placing a trade with no directional bias. The whole point of this game is to know where price is going before everybody else knows where price is going.... Not reduce losses willy-nilly with tight stops because you have no clue, and hope you eek out a higher win rate than loss rate... that's no different than gambling.
anticipating the move is not same as predicting.

Sounds like you're dealing with some greed issues. Just remember nobody ever went broke taking a profit. You cant lament leaving money on the table because you exited too soon. There'll be plenty more trades ahead.i understand them better than other price ranges. and suffer smaller losses than trading higher price range. and i like the action.
tops are the only ones that i can spot with very high probability.
unfortunately thats about it. im still blind to almost everything else.
i was looking right at the ascending triangle just few days ago and only saw it when the breakout happened., and then i was like wtf this is like textbook triangle and i didnt see it
i dont see bottoms i dont see pre breakout patterns i dont see basically anything else.
the reason why i get trapped in tops is not because i dont see them but its because i dont sell when i should because when the top rolls over i freeze because when i cant tell whether its a reversal or pullback and i have paralysis and just watch the chart go down and finally sell when im already down alot.
thats why i was asking for some help on how to figure out whether its a pullback or reversal.. because thats where i get fucked up all the time.
ross cameron enters at much earlier time than i do so he has more room to wait fro pullback.
im not that good yet to see the entry point that early so i buy after confirmation which he basically says is too late in scalping.
majority of time i do get profits of 30-150 bucks before it reverses sometimes more. but my paralysis when selling is what eats all my profits.
and also the bigger profit more fomo i get and i hodl lol
i see over 100 dollar profit my brain goes into WSB mode and yolo (ITS GONNA SKYROCKET ITS GONNA KEEP GOING) which i also need to work on. at the same time the more rational part of my brain is in the backgrouns. like that was the top homie. its slowing down and about to reverse. and it does. and i take smaller profits or losses
im not very proficient in reading individual candles yet. mostly because that info is scattered across 100s of different videos and takes long time to find again.
unless yall have a good video that covers that in great detail in a single video that would be appreciated greatly.