of course Al has never supplied any evidence that he is a successful trader. He makes his money from the usual hopefuls..
I've thought a lot about this and I do believe Al is a profitable day trader, for a few reasons. If you have been around the markets for a while and read Al's books, you realize that the ideas he puts forth must have taken years if not decades of trial and error to formulate. The insights he has to trading simply do not come to a person who hasn't dedicated much of their life to this craft.
I do not believe a trader would spend years doing the excruciating analysis required to draw the conclusions Al has drawn, unless they were making money from trading and wanted to make more money...there is simply no way an individual could retain the motivation long enough if they weren't seeing any fruit from their labor.
Secondly, the most important question is whether what Al says in his books actually happens in real-time in the markets? Those who have spent the time reading his books know the answer to that question.
If I read a book about how to successfully perform surgery (trade the markets), and then was given the chance observe a team of doctors perform surgery (observe the markets), if I saw the surgeons doing exactly what the book I read told me they were going to do, would I question whether the author of the book knew personally how to perform surgery? Nope.
With that said, do I think Al is making $5 million per year trading the Emini? No I do not. I think he is most likely a 10-lot trader, and would not at all be surprised to find out he is clearing a very respectable $2,000 a day trading his own accounts.
"So if he such a great trader, why doesn't he reveal his account statements to the public?"
What does he benefit from this? Everyone's information is public record nowdays, including home addresses of himself and his daughters. Would you want the entire world to know that you were sitting in your house everyday extracting xxxx dollars every single from the markets by simply clicking your mouse? If he were trying to raise money from a fund that would be one thing, but to release that information for sole purpose of satisfying the curiosity of some unsuccessful 1-lot traders? No thank you, that attention is simply not worth it.
"So if he is such a great trader, why write books in the first place?"
Well, you can look at the sales data and conclude that he isn't making much money from his books. So why do it? Well, he used to teach medicine and has published various peer reviewed articles related to medicine...perhaps he enjoys this type of work, and wants to leave behind some legacy in the trading world after he dies?
Also, as wonderful as consistently making money as a trader sounds to an unprofitable trader, after a while it does get boring/lonely and a person does need to find other outlets in order to have meaning in their life....I can assure you that a single guy, living alone in his 60's making 5 grand a day trading with no other human contact/outlets is going to a be very lonely and unhappy person without other outlets to put their energy into....also, perhaps Al feels his books/trading materials will hopefully provide a small royalty stream for his 3 daughters after he dies - just speculation on my part.
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