Stop worrying about traps. No one is trying to squeeze a guy with 5k in his account (except his “forex broker” ofc).
Start from the perspective that stock prices between informational events move in a random walk, which means all patterns are “traps” (e.g. not presenting any opportunity, though they look like they do). From that point you can layer information such as incremental change in flow, moves in peer companies, positioning by large investors (13-F), and earnings revisions. Pretty much your signals should be stuff that can predict future change in volume. Focus on smaller stocks (200mm to 1b in mkt cap) because the slow diffusion of information is more prevalent here.
Start from the perspective that stock prices between informational events move in a random walk, which means all patterns are “traps” (e.g. not presenting any opportunity, though they look like they do). From that point you can layer information such as incremental change in flow, moves in peer companies, positioning by large investors (13-F), and earnings revisions. Pretty much your signals should be stuff that can predict future change in volume. Focus on smaller stocks (200mm to 1b in mkt cap) because the slow diffusion of information is more prevalent here.
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