Quote from denner:
So, your "as I was saying" was not to be interpreted as some sort of self-aggrandizing statement?
I don't have a dog in this race, so it's not really a big deal to me either way, but I find the whole argument about "we'll be higher by Thanksgiving" as sort of a non-starter if we trade 8-10% lower between now and then.
Then again, I heard the same exact things back in 2008 and 2009 as everyone was convinced that the one day bullet rallies higher indiciated a definitive bottom.
I've got a feeling you got hurt real bad in 2008 and 2009 and that's why you disappeared for a few years.
Quote from iceman1:
10-3-11
I don't see that as a bad idea; scale in and no doubt you will be UP significantly by Thanksgiving.
NO WAY this vola keeps escalating without a large counter-trend reversal and/or rally occurring soon.
Q4 is "typically" a good time from the long side. Plus its the 3rd year of a presidential cycle and SPY is off big - - - which historically is a precursor to a large counter trend move.
I thought it would happen today. But things are pretty uncertain so no one wants to be the 'sucker at the table'.
Quote from N54_Fan:
LOL...
I have to ask...what is your target price, time frame before the trade is profitable, and what is your stop loss price? You just using your GUT here on this trade or do you have some sort of signal that says the market is going higher?
last question.....You like catching falling knives?
Seriously, I have no idea what anyone could see as bullish on this market right now. Monthly, weekly, daily, 60 min, 15 min, 5 min and 1 min charts ALL SHOW A DOWNTREND!!! Why in the world would you go long here?
Please explain your trade....I would love to learn something here if you see or know something I do not.
Quote from N54_Fan:
Who said anything about PREDICTING? Just look at the trend...follow the trend. For there to be an identifiable trend it by definition has to have already started.