went long SPY

Quote from noob_trad3r:

I got long another half position (500 shares) at 107.61 this morning

Keeping on fighting the trend?

I hope you get lucky today with your average down and break even.
 
I've been long since Friday. Needless to say, I've been hosed. Some HF managers that I trust are also long.

Remember the Tuesday after the Friday downgrade? Chaos can go up too. We are due for a reversal IMO.
 
Are you simply rateably adding to your position every xx spy points or are you using some technical analysis to help you determine where? FWIW I do agree with being positioned long in the market now, especially with the Aug low stop run out of the way and R2k, Naz leaders again showing relative strength vs Dow. But my opinion is longer-term (401k) than most

Quote from noob_trad3r:

I got long another half position (500 shares) at 107.61 this morning
 
Quote from intradaybill:

Keeping on fighting the trend?

I hope you get lucky today with your average down and break even.

So far he nailed the bottom. You are losing against him. :)
 
Quote from tradingjournals:

So far he nailed the bottom. You are losing against him. :)

What am I losing? He went long yesterday. He is averaging down to get out intact. Are you well?
 
Quote from N54_Fan:

Who said anything about PREDICTING?

When people take a position "with the trend" or because whatever indicator told them to, they are predicting that price will go in that direction.

Just look at the trend...follow the trend. For there to be an identifiable trend it by definition has to have already started.



I have never met a profitable trend follower who can QUANTIFY how to define a trend.

Sure it's easy to look at price now and say "oh yeah we're in a downtrend" but nothing says that as soon as you enter price won't turn against you.

Quote from denner:

True. The guy averaging down would just be better served to use something simple like a 20 period MA combined with the 200 period MA. At the very least, it will keep you long or flat (since the guy doesnt want to be short).

Now I know you're trolling. MA crossovers aren't profitable in the long run (although they tend to work when price's waves happen to coincide with the frequency of the MAs). Do some research rather than listening to your "gurus" who try to make things easy by telling you nonsense like MA crossovers have a use in trading.

The amount you lose in chop will eventually make up for the amount you gain in trends while using MA crossover systems.

To simply, sit there and take the heat as the market goes down is foolish. It was this sort of failed logic that ruined guys in 2008 and 2009. None of them believed the market would break 1000.

To each his own. Some people made a lot of money on weighted ETFs in 2008 and 2009.
 
1a2,

maybe this helps

using daily

when the 50 crosses the 200 down, look to see if 50 acts as resistance after subsequent touches after the cross, if so you got a strong downtend

the cross itself is a warning, not a signal, the signal is how price acts after the cross

reverse for bullish scenarios

its a simple way to define strong trends

hope it helps

for targets use channels, and target return lines

FoN
 
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