Weekly Poll: Pullback This Week? PART 4

SPY Next Week?

  • Bullish

    Votes: 14 48.3%
  • Flat

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Bearish

    Votes: 13 44.8%
  • I prefer to keep my opinion to myself

    Votes: 2 6.9%

  • Total voters
    29
Quote from MKTrader:

No, it didn't. S&P and Dow were both down for the week. Every major index had some sort of shooting star formation on a weekly basis.

If you want to get into intermarket relationships (i.e., stocks when oil rises above 80), things get even uglier...

My 2nd admitted I got fooled by looking at the Russell, which did in fact go up for the week.
Also, shooting star? Whatever. The next week could be a downer because it's the week before earnings start to roll in, and maybe they'll pull back in anticipation, or dread, or something.
The bottom of the recently demised correction was July 1, two weeks before Alcoa's report kicked things off last quarter, as a matter of fact. Earnings were very nice last quarter, and really the only reason it went back to test 1050 was that some of the economic reports were a bit off. The stock market is about companies and how they're doing, though. It's related to the economy, but it's not the same thing at all, although you'd think it from the way the bears characterize things all the time.
If the economy's crawling sideways, which is what everyone thinks it's doing right now, companies can do very well anyway.
 
Quote from MKTrader:

No, it didn't. S&P and Dow were both down for the week. Every major index had some sort of shooting star formation on a weekly basis.

If you want to get into intermarket relationships (i.e., stocks when oil rises above 80), things get even uglier...

Agreed!!!!

Couldn't have siad it better myself!

I voted. Bearish...
 
a bullish pattern based on a weak finish to the quarter:

2010-10-01+png.png

http://quantifiableedges.blogspot.com/2010/10/two-days-down-to-finish-quarter.html
 
is anybody Long USD here?

since the SPY rally is largely explained by the dollar weakness we may not get SPY correction until the dollar gains strength.
 
Quote from shortie:

is anybody Long USD here?

since the SPY rally is largely explained by the dollar weakness we may not get SPY correction until the dollar gains strength.

It's not nearly that simple.

So far, this fall has looked a lot like 2007. Both years had big rallies in September for stocks, gold and oil while the Dollar fell. Fed intervention was heavily involved both times (rate cuts in '07, QE and POMO now).

The Dow peaked (its all-time high, actually) in early October '07. At that time, oil was in the $80-85 range and the Dollar Index was around $77. Stocks began a steep fall while oil and gold continued to rally and while the Dollar continued to fall . The whole commodities up/Dollar down trend didn't end until 6 months later in March 2008.
 
Futures turned around and ready for another rally tomorrow, asia is green green green. Tomorrow is also known to some as mutual fund monday. Get ready for another run and of course higher commodity prices.
 
Back
Top