Weekend gap in FX

Quote from ParisJOM:

if jpy crashed with a huge gap 1000 pip, I would be finished... I'm realy not worried at all about such an unlikely scenario.

If Kim Jong Il can manage to weaponize a nuke, you might want to reconsider.
 
Quote from lindq:

If Kim Jong Il can manage to weaponize a nuke, you might want to reconsider.

Again, if JPY crashes, so be it and I'll be fine. I realy don't believe a huge "gap" is any real danger even if King Kong in Ping Pong gets his nukes working. ... in any case, I am confident that even in regards to an idiot like King Kong, we would see alot of tension build before a nuclear strike.
 
Quote from ParisJOM:


... if jpy crashed with a huge gap 1000 pip, I would be finished... I'm realy not worried at all about such an unlikely scenario.

imo, it's not the absolute value of 1,000 pips being important.

Instead, it'd be the relative value of how many times (say X times) of normal stop loss (say Y pips) being critical, so that we still can recover the impact (X*Y) within a reasonable time.
 
Quote from OddTrader:

imo, it's not the absolute value of 1,000 pips being important.

Instead, it'd be the relative value of how many times (say X times) of normal stop loss (say Y pips) being critical, so that we still can recover the impact (X*Y) within a reasonable time.

My present stop levels on my long JPY positions are :

usd/jpy: 119.89

nzd/jpy: 79.56

gbp/jpy: 224.45

... do I look worried ? > :)

Also, don't forget that I already took partial profits on thursday & friday on nzd/jpy ... these partial profits on nzd/jpy cover the possible loss on nzd/jpy if stop is hit.
 
Quote from ParisJOM:

... if jpy crashed with a huge gap 1000 pip, I would be finished... I'm realy not worried at all about such an unlikely scenario.

It doesn't have to gap 1000 pips to wipe you out. With your attitude, if it just fell 500 hundred pips in the space of a few days, you'd probably be in there buying it with the thought that "this move is way overdone" -- is this a good guess?

Then when it keeps falling lower, you'll keep stopping out and getting back in; eventually you may even just cancel your stops altogether, with the attitude that the lower it goes, the better the buy. You'll get carried out in slow-motion, no gaps required here. This will have to be another angle you'll want to be wary of in the future.
 
Quote from illiquid:

It doesn't have to gap 1000 pips to wipe you out. With your attitude, if it just fell 500 hundred pips in the space of a few days, you'd probably be in there buying it with the thought that "this move is way overdone" -- is this a good guess?

Then when it keeps falling lower, you'll keep stopping out and getting back in; eventually you may even just cancel your stops altogether, with the attitude that the lower it goes, the better the buy. You'll get carried out in slow-motion, no gaps required here. This will have to be another angle you'll want to be wary of in the future.

No, not at all my style. Guess again
 
Quote from Businessman:

I dont not have intra day data but my end of day data says:

Firday Sep 20 1985: close 238.15
Monday Sep 23 1985: close 225.78

Thats over 1200 pips.

I read that 800 of that 1200 was on the open.

The YEN was trading at twice the value back in 1985 so translated today a similar percentage move would be 400 pips. Still huge.

The gap on that date was in the direction of the market. The market had just experienced a triple lower RSI trough and short grail just before the gap. Generally, these gaps are in the direction of your trade if you are not fighting the market and you are trading as a position trader. Nothing to worry about. :)
 
Quote from Buy1Sell2:

The gap on that date was in the direction of the market. The market had just experienced a triple lower RSI trough and short grail just before the gap. Generally, these gaps are in the direction of your trade if you are not fighting the market and you are trading as a position trader. Nothing to worry about. :)

Simply a misleading advice above - unless every of your position trade's direction has been and will be right forever without any losing one; and you expect every trader is trading as good as you are.

Otherwise, an average trader would still have a (50%?) chance entering a wrong position on that event. That should be something to worry about. :D
 
Quote from OddTrader:

Simply a misleading advice above - unless every of your position trade's direction has been and will be right forever without any losing one; and you expect every trade is trading as good as you are.

Otherwise, an average trader would still have a (50%?) chance entering a wrong position on that event. That should be something to worry about. :D

Yes, furthermore, the refference to something as subjective as a moving average based oscilator is quite useless ... which time frame, which values pluged into the RSI ?? ... and in any case, during a trending market, you will almost always see an oscilator such as an RSI show an "oversold" or "overbought" reading nearly at the begining of the trend ... thus suggesting to reverse (or at least take profits) way too early.

I am dead against oscilators for several reasons ... but thats another subject.
 
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