"We predict that President Trump is going to win"

thecoder said:
Don't believe the polls — Trump is winning

https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/522957-dont-believe-the-polls-trump-is-winning-bigly
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Interesting paragraph:

Admittedly, no poll is perfect. That’s why RealClearPolitics takes a step forward by “averaging out” these errors across polls. But “averaging out” only works when errors are made in both directions. Here, many polls make errors primarily in one direction, so the average will still reflect some of the biases that exist.​
 
As I said about 2 cycles ago..
The average of crap is crap.

Averaging skewed polls gives you an average skewed poll.

538 adopted the unskew the polls methodology but they seem to unskew in a very skewed manner.


Tsing Tao said:
Interesting paragraph:

Admittedly, no poll is perfect. That’s why RealClearPolitics takes a step forward by “averaging out” these errors across polls. But “averaging out” only works when errors are made in both directions. Here, many polls make errors primarily in one direction, so the average will still reflect some of the biases that exist.​
More...
 
The liberals/Dems/lefties/Trump haters or anyone who thinks Trump is out of this race should be careful. It is a lot closer than it looks.

Either way one side is going to cry next Wednesday.
 
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